Tiptoeing 'Round A Relic
By Jim Hoagland
In his final days, Fidel Castro endures an appropriate fate: The old
revolutionary who once consciously sought to drag two superpowers into
nuclear confrontation has become a geopolitical bone. His only importance
comes from the energy others put into scrapping over and gnawing at him.
When Secretary of State Madeleine Albright staged a preemptive strike
against a full review of America's obsolete and self-defeating Cuba policy
this week, her real target was not Castro. The small opening offered as
a
substitute for a policy review, and dramatic change will have marginal
or no
impact on the entrenched status of the world's last historical communist
dictator.
Don't misunderstand. Albright's changes are certainly better than a slap
in
the face with a wet fish. They are in fact the kind of steps that a bold,
innovative president would have taken on Day One of Term Two as a
commitment to bringing full change in U.S.-Cuban relations and an end to
embargo within his presidency.
Clinton's mind and boldness were elsewhere. Cuba could wait. Two years
after his second inauguration, and almost a full year after the mind-opening
visit of Pope John Paul II to Cuba, Clinton abruptly announced on
Tuesday that he would accept Albright's recommendation for an easing of
restrictions on the flow of mail, money and travelers to the Caribbean
island.
This quarter-loaf fell out of the oven between two more ambitious and
worthy efforts to question the U.S. embargo on Cuba. Clinton's plan
clearly was influenced, if not triggered, by them.
Also figuring in the timing mix is a tentatively scheduled trip to and
speeches in Florida by Albright. Such is the importance of appearance,
and of the short run, in policy-making in the administration of the ninth
American president Castro has bedeviled.
Clinton and Albright seem unwilling to accept the political costs for Al
Gore in Florida and New Jersey of understanding that Castro today is
weak enough to be negotiated out the door of power. Castro is a relic of
another era and another battle.
In the 1962 missile crisis, he brought the United States and the Soviet
Union to the edge of nuclear war and actually pushed Moscow to respond
with atomic rockets to the U.S.-backed landing on Cuba he thought
imminent. Today he is an anachronism in what has become the
decade-long Aftermath of the Cold War.
The full-loaf effort led by Sen. John Warner (R-Va.) and other
conservatives to have Congress and the White House empower a national
commission to review and revise U.S. policy toward Cuba is the right idea
at the right time.
Warner has made no secret of his view that the commission would be
looking at drastically revising or ending the 37-year U.S. trade embargo.
He has eloquently described the costs to U.S. foreign policy of a
mindlessly enforced embargo that serves little purpose. It merely gives
Castro an external excuse for the glaring failures of his regime and
intensifies friction between Washington and its most important allies.
"We allow food and medicine to get into North Korea. We allow food and
medicine to get into Iraq. And we still deny this tiny country basic things,"
Warner said of Cuba, correctly calling Clinton's decision to preempt the
commission "a missed opportunity."
Administration officials say they doubt that the Warner approach would
prevail in the Senate and bring the changes in the Helms-Burton law and
other legislation needed to end the embargo.
"We did not want to use up political capital in naming a commission that
would probably not be effective," said one State Department official. "We
felt it was more realistic to split the difference. We felt it was not
a time to
go through a major self-examination on this."
But the administration did even less than the half-loaf approach urged
on it
by a Council on Foreign Relations report released this week. The report,
written by Bernard W. Aronson and William D. Rogers, former State
Department officials, stresses the importance of opening Cuba to U.S.
market forces. They also hold out the possibility of military-to-military
contacts and U.S.-Cuban cooperation in the war on drugs.
The real message that comes from Clinton's tiny steps is that he is still
not
prepared to exercise leadership on Cuba as both he and Castro fade into
the sunset. John Warner should not abandon his idea of a national
commission simply because this lame-duck president demurs. Americans
have become accustomed to leadership on vital topics coming from outside
this spinally challenged White House.