No Easing of Cuba Policy Seen
By THE ASSOCIATED PRESS
WASHINGTON (AP)
-- Madeleine Albright, much like her 10
immediate predecessors,
is stepping down as secretary of state with
Cuban President
Fidel Castro as firmly entrenched as ever, and the
prospect does
not please her.
``People ask
me what I'm really disappointed in,'' Albright said recently,
reflecting on
her four years in office. ``The Middle East is one. The other
is that I didn't
see a change in Cuba.''
Castro is no
less discouraged about U.S. policies. During the campaign,
Castro and his
lieutenants complained that neither George W. Bush nor
Al Gore showed
any hint of a more flexible policy toward his regime.
Secretary of State-designate Colin Powell offers Cubans little comfort.
A decade ago,
following the collapse of a number of communist regimes,
some as a result
of U.S. military pressure, Powell, then chairman of the
Joint Chiefs
of Staff, put Cuba on a short list of hostile countries where
he said change
was needed. Coming from the Pentagon's top officer,
some Cuban officials
saw the remark as a warning.
Bush said in
August he has no plans to ease the Cuban embargo, in place
for 38 years.
``I challenge
the Castro regime to surprise the world and adopt the ways
of democracy,''
he said at the time. ``Until it frees political prisoners and
holds free elections
and allows free speech, I will keep the current
sanctions in
place.''
Says Robert Zoellick,
a top foreign policy adviser to Bush and the
president-elect's
pick to be U.S. trade representative: ``Sadly, economic
ties to Cuba
will not benefit the people. Today, they will just empower
Castro's secret
police, his army, and his chokehold on the country.''
For his part,
Castro has shown no interest in reaching out to the United
States. Last
year, his regime erected facilities adjacent to the U.S.
diplomatic mission
in Havana as a permanent venue for anti-American
demonstrations.
To protest credit
restrictions on otherwise newly unhindered U.S. food
and medical
sales to the island, the Cuban government turned out
800,000 demonstrators
last fall -- almost 10 percent of the island's
population.
Nationally televised anti-American round-table discussions
are another
regime staple.
One indicator
of the Bush administration's view of Cuba will occur in July
when it must
decide whether to waive or enforce legislation that allows
Americans to
sue in U.S. courts foreign companies operating on Cuban
properties that
were confiscated from the Americans.
Since the law
was approved in 1996, President Clinton invariably has
exercised his
waiver authority, much to the annoyance of
Cuban-American
lawmakers and of the chairman of the Senate Foreign
Relations Committee,
Jesse Helms, R-N.C. a co-author of the legislation.
Superficially,
relations between the two countries seem frozen in time --
but that is
misleading.
Dan Fisk, an
associate at the conservative Heritage Foundation, notes
that pro-embargo
forces have had to contend with a well-organized
corporate campaign
that persuaded Congress to ease restrictions on the
sale of humanitarian
necessities last year.
Fisk says the
campaign is just beginning. ``The long term focus is the end
of restrictions
on U.S. intercourse with the island,'' he says.
Another new wrinkle
under Clinton has been an emphasis on
people-to-people
contacts between Americans and Cubans.
More and more
Americans are visiting the island. Officials believe that
such contacts
are an antidote to the regime's rhetoric and could nurture
pro-democracy
sentiments, but many in the anti-Castro camp believe the
administration
may have oversold the concept.
Bush is getting plenty of advice on Cuba policy.
James R. Jones,
who served Clinton as ambassador to Mexico and is
now linked to
the liberal Center for National Policy, says the embargo is
``no longer
sustainable'' and should end. He also urges cooperative
arrangements
with Cuba on such issues as countering narcotics
traffickers.
Clinton generally has limited bilateral discussions to migration
issues.
A panel of the
Council on Foreign Relations, in a recent report, said an
easing of the
embargo would help facilitate a transition in Cuba and
reduce the possibility
of turmoil in the post-Castro era. This, in turn,
would lessen
pressures for U.S. military intervention, the report said.
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EDITOR'S NOTE
-- George Gedda has covered foreign affairs for The
Associated Press
since 1968.