Cuba sanctions to go under microscope at trade agency hearing
WASHINGTON (AP) -- With momentum growing in the U.S. Congress to ease
the Cuba embargo, advocates on both sides will make their cases Tuesday
in one
of the biggest official debates on the 38-year-old sanctions.
The planned hearing is part of an International Trade Commission study
that
some Cuba experts describe as the most comprehensive effort by a federal
agency to determine how the embargo has affected the Cuban and U.S.
economies. The commission is an independent, nonpartisan agency.
"You could almost say this is going to be the
Woodstock of the Cuba issue," John Kavulich,
president of the U.S.-Cuba Trade and Economic
Council, said of the large anticipated crowd. "But
in Woodstock, there were mostly people of like
minds."
The large number of participants -- 36 as of
Monday -- prompted commissioners to add a
second day of hearings
"There have been some congressional hearings
with long witness lists, but this is something else,"
said Philip Peters, vice president of the Lexington
Institute, a think tank.
The commission study was requested by the House Ways and Means Committee
in March. A final report, due February 15, won't make recommendations about
whether the sanctions should be lifted. But that won't stop both embargo
supporters and opponents from facing-off at the hearing.
Among those participating: Cuban exile groups that favor sanctions to pressure
Fidel Castro's government, humanitarian groups that say the sanctions hurt
innocent people, businesses and agricultural groups that believe they would
benefit from trade with Cuba and others that believe they would be hurt.
Cuba has been receiving renewed attention with some farm-state Republicans
joining liberal Democrats in favor of easing restrictions on the sale of
food and
medicine.
The Cuban exile movement, which favors maintaining the sanctions, was
weakened following the battle over Elian Gonzalez, the young castaway who
returned to Cuba after a long dispute between his father and his Florida
relatives.
Also, the debate over permanently normalizing trade with China has made
some
lawmakers take a new look at Cuba.
Concerns that sanctions could be eased have "galvanized" embargo supporters,
said Dennis K. Hays, executive vice president of the Cuban-American National
Foundation.
"It's no longer possible to sit on the sidelines," he said.
Some advocates of the embargo are skeptical about the study's importance,
noting that it was requested by an opponent of the sanctions, Rep. Charles
Rangel
of New York. They question the study's ability to gauge how the United
States
and Cuba would be affected if the embargo were lifted.
"It's very difficult to quantify the impact of what you (are) not making,"
said Otto
Reich, an international business consultant and former ambassador to Venezuela.
But other analysts see the report as unique, given the commission's objectivity
and independence. Two commission economists visited Cuba in July, meeting
with government officials. They are also conducting a survey of U.S. businesses
and trade organizations.
Peters said the commission's report could be influential, given the depth
of its
research and its objectivity
"They are authoritative. They don't have a dog in this fight," he said.
"They have
tremendous resources, so they are going to be able to do a pretty thorough
look
at the impact of the sanctions and the potential trade that could flow."