Cloudy outlook on Cuba sanctions as deadline nears
While proponents said on Wednesday that they remained confident of victory,
there were jitters about the outcome. Representative Tom Ewing, an Illinois
Republican, has said "I would not be surprised" if the proposal was quashed.
Potentially a landmark change in U.S. relations with the communist island,
the
proposal will die unless lawmakers reach agreement before Congress adjourns
in early October.
U.S. economic sanctions were imposed on President Fidel Castro's government
four decades ago when Cuba began accepting Soviet aid. American farm and
business groups say the embargo failed to isolate Cuba and now is a futile
Cold
War relic.
"The mood seems to be for change now," said a spokesman for Representative
George Nethercutt, a Washington state Republican and a leading sponsor
of
loosening food and medicine sanctions.
Attempts to exempt these items from unilateral U.S. embargoes were thwarted
at
the last moment in 1998 and 1999 by hard-core opposition. The proposal,
which
would benefit North Korea, Iran, Libya, and Sudan as well as Cuba, enjoyed
a
strong start this year, but differences between the Senate and the House
of
Representatives must be resolved.
U.S. farmers eager to boost sales
Farm groups say Cuba, 90 miles (145 km) from Florida in the Caribbean,
would
be a natural market for U.S. goods. Havana spends about $750 million a
year on
food imports, some of it purchased under favorable credit terms.
House Republican leaders, often harshly critical of Castro, brokered a
compromise between Nethercutt and anti-Castro lawmakers that would allow
the
sales but ban any government or private U.S. financing of food exports
to
Havana. It also would write current travel restrictions into law. Both
provisions
are unpalatable to advocates of closer relations.
Senators voted in late July for a food and medicine exemption that allows
private
financing, such as involvement by U.S. banks and insurers.
House and Senate negotiators may not meet until next week, if then, to
work on
the $75 billion agriculture funding bill that includes the troublesome
Cuba
language. Although time is short, staff workers said, discussions could
conclude
speedily if Republican leaders intervened.
"We assume we're going to be able to negotiate the original agreement we
got in
the House," said a press aide to Texas Republican Tom DeLay, No. 3 in the
House leadership.
But farm groups and a sizable number of farm-state lawmakers prefer the
more
straightforward Senate language. Some of them say flatly that the House
language
is unacceptable, creating the possibility of stalemate.
"Leadership -- they are very unwilling to go farther than ... the deal,"
a House
staff worker said.
A farm lobbyist said the House language was so restrictive it would bar
simple
steps like a U.S. bank's acceptance of a letter of credit as part of a
food sale to
Cuba. "We're all saying we want the Senate version," she said.
Bush-Gore race in Florida a factor
With public opinion polls showing a tight race in Florida, there was concern
among trade groups that the Cuba language might be sidelined as too risky.
Cuban
Americans are a potent political bloc in Florida.
"Neither side wants to do anything that might affect Florida" if a small
shift in
votes could tip the election, a trade group official said.
Pedro Alvarez Borrego, head of the Cuban food-importing agency Alimport,
was
in the United States this week to meet farm and agribusiness leaders in
Texas and
Illinois. In a telephone interview with Reuters, he said sanctions hurt
U.S.
producers more than Cuba.
"In practice, the blockade is imposed on U.S. producers and the U.S. people,"
he
said through an interpreter. "Cuba can trade with the rest of the world.
However,
the U.S. farmers ... cannot trade with Cuba."
U.S. public sentiment has shifted toward closer relations with Cuba, in
part
because of child shipwreck survivor Elian Gonzalez. Alvarez said that just
as "the
U.S. people were a significant factor in having Elian returned to Cuba,"
they
would spur an end to the "absurd blockade."