Mexico's most open election follows decades of reforms
MEXICO CITY -- (AP) -- Mexico's presidential election this Sunday
is widely being
praised as the fairest and most open in the country's history.
It's the result of a
very long march. And some say there is still a long way to go.
``It was an incremental process, a step-by-step process,'' said
Roderic Ai Camp,
a Mexico specialist at Claremont-McKenna College in California.
Mexico has slowly opened its political system since at least 1946,
when
opposition parties were first allowed into Congress. And it has
been slow --
another 43 years would pass before an opposition governor was
allowed to take
office. Not until 1994 did a candidate outside the Institutional
Revolutionary Party
-- or PRI -- have much chance in a presidential election.
Even Ernesto Zedillo, who won that year, admitted that while the
race was clean,
``it was not equitable,'' apparently because of PRI's greater
spending, media
coverage and network of entrenched power.
There have been at least 11 significant shake-ups of the electoral
system since
1946 as opposition factions gradually leveraged their way to
a shot at power.
Federal officials replaced tough-to-monitor local election organizers
in 1946.
Women won the right to vote in 1953. Proportional representation
gave minority
parties congressional representation in 1963. Minority parties
received more rights
and more proportional seats in 1977.
Camp said the most important change may be the most recent: the
1996 law that
removed direct government control over the Federal Electoral
Institute that
organizes the voting.
That change ``gives it a stronger basis for creating a level of
credibility among the
electorate,'' Camp said.
After decades of laughable elections, credibility has not come
cheaply. The
Institute -- whose board is dominated by academics -- has a budget
of about $860
million. Some $353 million of that goes to political parties
to finance their
campaigns -- a process meant to end the PRI's financial dominance.
Critics remain unsatisfied, accusing the government of buying
voters or
threatening to cut their benefits if they buck the PRI.
``This is a country whose elections are riddled with fraud, yet
not one Mexican
has gone to jail because of that,'' said Carlos Heredia, spokesman
for the leftist
Democratic Revolution Party.
``There is no such thing as a legitimate election in Mexico. When
the opposition
wins it is in spite of the absence of a level playing field,
and in spite of the
prevailing impunity.''
Mexico has seen other tight presidential races, but none where
the result was in
doubt.
The first election for the party later known as the PRI was ``the
prototypical, the
dirtiest election,'' said George Grayson, an expert on Mexican
elections at the
Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington.
Official results in 1929 showed 1.8 million votes for the party's
Pascual Ortiz
Rubio to 105,655 for Jose Vasconcelos, a quirky educator who
was and is
something of a national hero.
The result ``was just totally fabricated,'' Camp said.
Historian Enrique Krauze has written that that Gen. Juan Almazan
might have
won the ``dirty and bloody'' 1940 election over the official
candidate, Manuel Avila
Camacho, had the race been fair.
As it was, the officials counted just 151,000 votes for Almazan
and 2.5 million for
Avila Camacho. Camp said his investigations indicated Almazan
had lost
nationally -- though he probably carried Mexico City.
Millions of Mexicans insist that Cuauhtemoc Cardenas won the 1988
election over
the PRI's Carlos Salinas de Gortari, only to be cheated by fraud.
Grayson called that race ``a close second'' to 1929 as Mexico's
most fraudulent
election.
``Cardenas wasn't ready to fight the system and (incumbent President
Miguel) de
la Madrid wasn't ready to turn over to him,'' he said.
Cardenas is running again this year for Democratic Revolution.
Trying to remove the stain of the election, Salinas oversaw major
reforms: the
electoral institute was created with largely independent directors,
campaign
spending was regulated and foreign election observers allowed.
Some of the most remarkable things about the 2000 race are the
things that go
unremarked: In the past, complaints of ballot stuffing or rigged
voter roles were
common.
``It's not an issue anymore, which is a huge achievement,'' Camp
said.