Mexico's endless presidential campaign
Underscoring the rapid pace of change in the political system, presidential
hopefuls have started coming out earlier and in greater numbers than ever
before. For the first time Mexican voters are experiencing what their U.S.
counterparts have endured for years: the marathon presidential campaign.
Here it is 16 months before the July 2000 election and politicians with
visions of the brass ring are challenging each other to debates, airing
high-profile television advertising and generally trying to elbow their
way to
the forefront.
"It's wonderful. I love it," said Jeffrey Weldon, a political science professor
at Mexico City's ITAM University. "The campaigns were a little too
compact to be fair. Very short campaigns tend to help incumbents because
they're known and the opposition isn't known. Just giving the people a
chance to meet the candidates and know who they are is a good thing."
The break from the past could not be more startling. Mexico has been
governed by the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) for 70 years, the
longest such run in the world.
Traditionally, the president would hand-pick his successor as PRI candidate,
a move known as the "dedazo" or big finger-pointing. It usually came in
October or November before the July election every six years, which the
PRI inevitably won. Opposition parties never made a move until the PRI
candidate was unveiled.
Zedillo shakes up the system
But upon taking office in December 1994, President Ernesto Zedillo
promised to chuck the old PRI selection system in favor of something more
democratic, and party officials are now leaning toward a primary election.
Zedillo also modernized the political system by shepherding through political
reforms that gave opposition parties a fairer chance at winning. Then an
opposition candidate jolted the status quo even more by announcing his
intention to run a full two years before the vote.
Vicente Fox of the National Action Party (PAN), the governor of central
Guanajuato state, has since surged in public opinion polls, dragging others
into the race "because they see the train going by," Weldon said.
Two PRI governors -- one current and one whose term just ended --
recently jumped into the fray. Manuel Barlett, the former governor of central
Puebla state, appears in TV ads pumping two clenched fists and promising
a
government "with a firm hand." Southeastern Tabasco state Gov. Roberto
Madrazo in his commercials waxes, "Who says that it can't be done?"
Two men in Zedillo's cabinet -- Interior Minister Francisco Labastida and
Social Development Minister Esteban Moctezuma -- also have aspirations
and have been given an increasingly high profile in recent months.
Leftist party scrambles to catch up
On the left, the Party of the Democratic Revolution (PRD) was caught
off-guard. Party stalwart and Mexico City Mayor Cuauhtemoc Cardenas,
the early front-runner, fell behind Fox in the polls. Then a rival within
the
PRD, Congressman Porfirio Munoz Ledo, launched his presidential
campaign, forcing a reluctant Cardenas to throw his hat in the ring last
week.
"For me it's a good thing, and for the majority of the population, too,"
said
Vicente Licona, who runs the Indemerc polling firm. "The people want to
know more. They normally didn't get to know the candidates until one of
them became president."
Of course the pollsters and pundits welcome the change. But what about
the
people? There has yet to be a scientific poll on the issue but Mexicans
at the
taco stands and shoe-shine booths seem to be in favor.
"It's fine by me that the candidates are starting now. This way we can
get to
know them," said Miguel Garcia, 44, a newspaper salesman, ticking off a
list
of names of hopefuls.
"I prefer to see the candidates and have an idea who to go with," added
Eusebio Gonzalez, 46, a construction worker. "It's better to see them
unveiled instead of not seeing them until the last minute."