Fox and Bush have agenda cut out for them
By Elliot Blair Smith
MEXICO CITY — Mexican President
Vicente Fox, while kicking back with the
prime minister of Spain in this country's capital
a few weeks ago, suddenly got an urge to call
his friend George W. Bush at the White House.
That Fox had nothing particularly important to
share with the U.S. president became evident
when aides related the impromptu three-way
conversation that included Spain's José María
Aznar. Fox aides said the call to Bush served
"to emphasize the closeness" between men
who "understand each other and are alike."
Fox also seemed to be making the point that
Mexico enjoys a special relationship with the
United States, due in no small part to him.
Next week, Fox and Bush hope to prove
there is more to the relationship than just talk.
Fox, guest of honor at Bush's first state visit in Washington, plans to
spend
Wednesday and Thursday with his fellow rancher and former border-state
governor. The two men will lead Cabinet negotiations on immigration reform,
border safety, drug interdiction and trade as they set their agendas for
the next
several years. And they will visit a Mexican-American community in Toledo,
Ohio.
But at a time when Fox and Bush themselves
raised expectations that this pair of
across-the-fence ranch owners could produce
important agreements, including expanded
temporary-worker visas for Mexicans in the
USA, officials from both countries now say
they have a lot of deliberating to do yet.
"It's a very complicated negotiation — very entangled — with delicate
political equations in the United States and in Mexico," Mexican Foreign
Secretary Jorge Castaneda says. "We've run out of time" to settle all issues
on
the agenda before the Bush-Fox summit.
U.S. Ambassador to Mexico Jeffrey Davidow says, "It's not realistic to
think
that problems with so many facets, and that have existed for years and
years,
can be resolved in a few months of work."
But grand expectations, often tilting at reality, are part and parcel of
Fox's
politics.
Last December, the lanky, mustachioed Fox — likened to the "Marlboro
Man" of billboard fame because he favors cowboy boots and hat over a suit
and tie — ended the former ruling party's monolithic 71-year grip on power
in
Mexico. He quickly emerged as a symbol of democracy worldwide.
But the Mexican president has found that running this complex, contradictory
country is more difficult than running for office here. Often he trips
over his
own boots.
After promising to practice austerity in an office plundered by past officials,
Fox recently acknowledged that his refurbished official residence was
budgeted to receive $400 bath towels. He fired his purchasing chief. And
as
Mexico's first president in more than a century to openly mix politics
with his
Catholic faith, Fox, 59, also stirred controversy in July by marrying his
spokeswoman, Martha Sahagun, 49, without waiting for their first marriages'
annulments.
Supporters say the U.S. economic slowdown is one important reason Fox has
been unable to deliver on his promises of job growth and increased public
security in this country. Another reason cited for Fox's governing difficulties
is
the nation's fractious, newly independent congress where no party, including
Fox's National Action Party, or PAN, has a majority.
So what can Fox offer Bush? And what does he want? Here are a few topics
on the table:
Drugs. Fox and Bush have shepherded the closest-ever cooperation in
interdiction efforts between the two countries, officials from both
countries say. U.S. Customs pilots are training Mexicans in
air-surveillance tactics. The U.S. Coast Guard is patrolling the eastern
Pacific with the Mexican navy. And the DEA and FBI are sharing
sensitive drug-related intelligence with the Mexican government.
But more must be done. Corruption still cripples law enforcement in
Mexico. And U.S. officials say they have identified a new drug threat in
Mexico — methamphetamine production — and want the Mexican
government to more closely regulate dangerous "precursor" chemicals.
They are the building blocks of illegal narcotics.
Immigration. Fox wants to find new ways to "poke holes" in the
border through a European-style common market that erases political
and economic divides among the USA, Canada and Mexico. For now,
Fox wants Washington to "regularize" the status of more than 3 million
Mexicans who live illegally in the USA.
Bush says he won't offer amnesty but is considering an overhaul of the
U.S. temporary-worker visa program. Mexican and U.S. diplomatic
sources say the Bush administration may increase the number of
non-farm job slots — from 66,000 this year to about 300,000 — and
streamline visa applications.
Trade. Diplomatic sources say the U.S. government is considering
ways to underwrite economic growth in areas of Mexico that are
homes to migrants who leave for work in the USA. The U.S.-funded
Export-Import Bank and Overseas Private Investment Corp. might be
tapped to provide such funding. Bush also will consider overhauling the
North American Development Bank, created by the North American
Free Trade Agreement, to free up additional investment for
environmental projects in border areas.
Bush wants Mexico to deregulate its energy sector. Over the next five
years, Mexico needs $50 billion in investment to meet domestic energy
demand. But Fox will be hard-pressed to deliver because the
constitution forbids foreign investment in oil and Mexico only allows
limited investment in power production.
At the presidents' last get-together, in February at Fox's ranch in the
central state of Guanajuato, there were several embarrassing hiccups.
When Fox invited his fellow rancher to go horseback riding, Bush
unexpectedly declined. And when Fox tried to give Bush a
custom-made horse saddle, Bush rejected the gift as excessive.