The Past Is Present in Guatemala Vote
Nation Holds First Presidential Election Since 1996 Peace Accords
By Serge F. Kovaleski
Washington Post Foreign Service
GUATEMALA CITY, Nov. 7—The complexities of Guatemala's past
and present problems weighed heavily today among voters as they went to
the polls in the country's first presidential election since 1996 peace
agreements ended 36 years of civil conflict.
There were few signs of the heavy military presence that marked previous
elections, and throughout the day voting was reported to be peaceful at
the
7,600 balloting sites. Voter turnout was heavy in a number of polling
stations across this capital, and the National Electoral Tribunal estimated
that nearly half of Guatemala's 4.5 million voters would cast ballots in
a
nation that historically has had a low level of electoral participation.
However, an inexplicable shortage of buses that were to transport some
voters to polling locations in parts of Guatemala City prompted the
opposition Guatemalan Republican Front (FRG) to file a formal complaint
with the tribunal, international monitors said.
According to recent pre-election polls, the FRG's candidate, Alfonso
Portillo, a 48-year-old lawyer and economist, was the front-runner with
about 45 percent of the vote, despite accusations that the party's founder
and general secretary, a 74-year-old former military coup leader, was
responsible for genocide when he was president in the early 1980s.
Two months ago, Portillo stunned the nation when he admitted he had
fatally shot two men, in what he insists was self-defense, in a brawl in
Mexico 17 years ago and then fled because he feared he would be unfairly
prosecuted. A judge closed the case in 1995.
But Portillo's popularity has grown since the disclosure. He has made the
Mexico incident a centerpiece of his populist law-and-order campaign that
has resonated with many Guatemalans who view the government as
oligarchic, dishonest and incapable of delivering the prosperity and public
safety they had hoped would come with peace.
Trailing Portillo by about 12 percentage points, the polls show, is Oscar
Berger, 53, a businessman and former Guatemala City mayor who is the
candidate of the ruling National Advancement Party. In an effort to counter
Portillo's strident anti-establishment message, the National Advancement
Party recently intensified efforts to portray itself as a more broad-based
party and has counted on concerns about the past of some of the
Republican Front's military members, and especially former president
Efrain Rios Montt, to boost its showing in today's contest.
The election is also the first in which Guatemala's former Marxist rebels
ran
as a political party. But polls indicated that Alvaro Colom, 48, an industrial
engineer and candidate for the leftist New Nation Alliance coalition, which
includes the former guerrillas, was in distant third place. To avoid a
Dec.
26 runoff, one of the candidates in the field of 11 must win an outright
majority of the votes.
The balloting comes at a time of disappointment and concern over the
failure of President Alvaro Arzu's administration to implement key reforms
tied to the ambitious three-year-old peace accords that were aimed at
rebuilding Guatemala and addressing the social, political and economic
problems that fueled the war.
"The government has no interest in those of us living on the fringes of
society. The ruling party is nothing but a party of the rich, but now we
can
change that," said Luis Lima, 27, who is unemployed and voted for
Portillo.
Four years ago, Portillo ran strongly against Arzu, who is constitutionally
barred from seeking reelection.
Despite 5.1 percent economic growth last year, an estimated 80 percent
of
the country's 11 million people live below the poverty line. The situation
is
exacerbated by annual inflation of about 7 percent and sagging coffee and
sugar prices worldwide that have hurt export revenues.
Voters today were also electing members to the newly expanded
113-member Congress, as well as local officials in 330 municipalities and
20 delegates to the Central American Parliament.
Some voters said they opposed the FRG because of its association with
Rios Montt, 74, the party leader and onetime coup leader accused of
genocide during the conflict, in which an estimated 200,000 people were
killed or disappeared.
"Mine is a vote against the FRG," said Jose Asturias, a 23-year-old
industrial engineer who voted for the ruling party. "It is this very dark
past
that bothers me. It seems that some people have chosen to forget or ignore
the horrible things that happened."
But Guatemalans are also concerned about widespread crime and a justice
system that remains dysfunctional due to corruption, incompetence and
inefficiency. These frustrations have drawn many people to Portillo, who
openly sympathized with leftist guerrillas during the war but has found
common ground on issues with Rios Montt, who ruled as a dictator for 17
months in 1982 and 1983.
"What we saw was that General [Rios] Montt made strong laws. He will
help against the violence, and we need change," said voter Tomas
Doroteo.
Rios Montt, who is barred from being elected president, is a candidate
for
a seat in Congress on his party's ticket, and is thought likely to win.
That
would position him to become the chamber's next president. Despite
assurances from Portillo to the contrary, critics have speculated that
Rios
Montt may try to run the country behind the scenes should Portillo win
the
presidency.
The ruling party and other opponents of Rios Montt's party have tried to
paint it as a vestige of Guatemala's old military guard. "Let's reject
the
violence, the blood and the terror the opposition party stands for," Berger
told thousands of supporters a week ago. "Our fatherland is in peril. Let
us
not allow our peace and a process that includes all Guatemalans to be
taken away from us."
© Copyright 1999 The Washington Post Company