The Washington Post
Tuesday, November 9, 1999; Page A18

Runoff Expected in Guatemala's Presidential Election

                  By Serge F. Kovaleski
                  Washington Post Foreign Service

                  GUATEMALA CITY, Nov. 8—The candidate of an opposition party
                  associated with wartime atrocities scored highest in Guatemala's first
                  presidential election since a protracted civil conflict ended here in 1996.
                  But results of Sunday's first round of voting showed today that the
                  candidate, Alfonso Portillo, will be forced to seek confirmation of his
                  victory in a runoff next month.

                  Portillo, a 48-year-old lawyer, economist and law-and-order candidate of
                  the Guatemalan Republican Front (FRG), failed to capture the majority
                  needed to avoid the second round. With 97.5 percent of the votes tallied,
                  Portillo had received almost 47.8 percent of the total, compared with 30.3
                  percent for businessman and former Guatemala City mayor Oscar Berger,
                  53, the candidate of the ruling National Advancement Party (PAN),
                  election officials reported.

                  That meant Portillo and Berger appeared headed for a runoff on Dec. 26.
                  Alvaro Colom, 48, of the New Nation Alliance, a coalition that includes
                  some former leftist guerrillas, drew only 12.2 percent of the vote.

                  The Supreme Electoral Tribunal said 53.9 percent of the country's 4.5
                  million voters went to the polls, one of the highest participation rates ever in
                  Guatemala. Analysts said the turnout reflected stepped up registration
                  efforts and discontent among Guatemalans three years after peace
                  agreements ended Central America's longest civil conflict.

                  An estimated 200,000 people, mostly indigenous peasants, were killed or
                  disappeared during the 36 years of fighting.

                  Portillo recently admitted that he fatally shot two men--in what he said was
                  self-defense--during a fight in Mexico 17 years ago, and then fled out of
                  fear of being unfairly prosecuted. A judge closed the case in 1995, and
                  Portillo deftly turned the incident into an asset as part of a populist
                  campaign that gained the support of many Guatemalans who view the
                  government as elite, corrupt and incapable of delivering the social and
                  economic dividends they hoped would come with peace.

                  Portillo prevailed in all of Guatemala's 22 states and the capital,
                  traditionally a PAN stronghold, despite the fact that the Republican Front's
                  founder and secretary general, former coup leader Efrain Rios Montt, 74,
                  has been accused of sanctioning widespread killings of guerrillas and
                  suspected supporters by the military when he was president in the early
                  1980s.

                  "The outcome of the election was a vote against arrogance . . . the abuse
                  of power and authoritarianism," Portillo, who is favored to win the runoff,
                  told reporters today. President Alvaro Arzu was constitutionally barred
                  from seeking reelection.

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