TIM JOHNSON
Herald Staff Writer
BOGOTA, Colombia -- In a relentless two-year campaign, Colombia's
largest
guerrilla group has captured more than 400 soldiers and police
as hostages and
now wants to swap them for the freedom of about 400 jailed rebels.
A proposed law to permit the swap is winding its way through Congress,
but it
faces opposition from the public and from the human rights community.
Even President Andres Pastrana appears leery of a swap, knowing
that the
release of so many jailed rebels could further strengthen the
Revolutionary Armed
Forces of Colombia and anger elements in his own military.
Senior army officers vehemently object to freeing any guerrillas.
The rebels' success in seizing large numbers of hostages has made
some sort of
deal seem likely, however, although it is not clear how soon
it will happen.
Leading efforts to reach a prisoner exchange is Attorney General
Jaime Bernal
Cuellar, who has suggested that humanitarian considerations should
compel a
deal as soon as possible, even if peace talks with the guerrillas
fail to gather
momentum.
``We cannot allow these people to remain as hostages indefinitely
-- another year,
or two years, or three years,'' Bernal Cuellar said in an interview.
Bernal Cuellar is perhaps the only high-level public figure to
take up the cause of
the abducted police and soldiers, whose numbers grow by the month.
The plight
of most hostages is largely ignored since they are from poor
families who are
unable to generate media attention.
Humanitarian concerns
But the humanitarian desires for a swap are complicated by legal,
military and
social considerations. Legal experts note that any exchange could
expose the
Pastrana government to international legal action if rebels suspected
of crimes
against humanity go free.
``The price of peace cannot be impunity,'' said Jose Miguel Vivanco,
a
Harvard-educated lawyer and regional director of Human Rights
Watch. ``To
pretend that [imprisoned guerrillas] could be released regardless
of the atrocities
they committed is unacceptable.''
The insurgency, which is known by its Spanish initials as the
FARC, has made a
prisoner release its No. 1 demand.
``They have pressed very hard. Why? Because they have people important
to their
war in jail,'' said Sen. Juan Manuel Ospina, a conservative who
has met with
FARC leaders five times in the last 10 months.
A senior intelligence official downplayed the level of most of
the 400 or so jailed
guerrillas, saying ``only 18 of them are important to the FARC.''
Other analysts differ. Former Defense Minister Rafael Pardo said
higher-level
FARC inmates have turned prison wings into ideological training
centers, forming
new military commanders for the group's expansion beyond the
15,000 to 17,000
fighters it now has.
``Leaders take time to prepare,'' Pardo said. ``In the jails,
they have carried out a
lot of training of new commanders.''
Fueled by the narcotics industry, which it protects, the FARC
has all the money it
needs and all the raw recruits it can pay, he said, but not the
commanders it
needs.
The FARC contends there is no legal difference between the captured
soldiers
and police it holds and its own imprisoned members. The group
says the judiciary
is corrupt, and verdicts against its cadres are invalid.
Under international law, irregular armed groups have the right
to take prisoners, as
long as they keep them safe, secure and alive.
``But it's a completely different game if they pretend to obtain
something for their
release, such as a political advantage, or a ransom, or the release
of their
companions,'' said Vivanco of Human Rights Watch.
Prisoner swaps
Prisoner exchanges are not unknown in the hemisphere, although
some have
been troublesome for their proponents. In October 1985, El Salvador's
president,
Jose Napoleon Duarte, took a political beating for letting 24
Marxist guerrillas out
of jail and allowing the evacuation of 101 wounded insurgents
to Cuba in
exchange for the release of his daughter, who had been kidnapped
by the rebels.
``Agreeing to release convicted guerrilla fighters . . . would
be a very big risk for
the government,'' said Cynthia Arnson of the Woodrow Wilson Center
in
Washington.
The rebels have released captives unilaterally in the past. On
June 15, 1997, the
FARC freed 70 soldiers taken in a raid on a small army outpost
10 months earlier.
Since then, the FARC has taken many more hostages, massing its
combatants
for assaults on large police and army bases where the defenders
are forced to
surrender after exhausting their ammunition.
The FARC is believed to be holding 203 police officers and about
the same
number of soldiers. In addition, about 600 civilians are in FARC
hands, awaiting
payment of ransom for their release.
FARC leaders invited relatives of captured soldiers and police
to the jungle town of
San Vicente del Caguan on Aug. 18. About 600 people -- mostly
mothers --
showed up. The FARC let them videotape messages for their sons,
paid for their
food and lodging, and gave them about $55 for travel expenses.
``The FARC is trying to wedge the mothers against the government,'' Pardo said.
Concessions
The insurgency has balked at offering concessions to Pastrana,
who came to
office 13 months ago on a peace platform. Despite repeated meetings
and
agreement on an agenda, formal peace talks have yet to get under
way.
``If the FARC wanted to get the peace talks back on track, they
could unilaterally
release some of these soldiers,'' Arnson said. ``It would be
precisely that sort of
concrete gesture that would indicate goodwill and breathe life
into the process.''
Aware of Pastrana's sinking popularity, rebel leaders have appealed
to Congress
to pave the way for a swap. Two weeks ago, FARC leader Manuel
Marulanda
called for a public referendum on whether a swap is feasible.
``If it is approved, we will very shortly be giving good news
to the country about the
freeing of the soldiers, and with this, opening roads to peace,''
he said in a letter
to Senate President Miguel Pinedo Vidal on Aug. 27.
Whether the public could stomach watching rebels walk free from
prison is
doubtful, some observers say.
``In the polls, 65 to 70 percent of the people say `no' to a swap.
They believe it
would be another concession to the guerrillas,'' said Ospina,
who noted that
legislators and Marulanda have vastly different conceptions of
how an exchange
might occur.
``Manuel Marulanda has told us that he foresees huge groups released,
and that
there would be fiestas on both sides,'' the senator said.
But authorities say a gradual release would be far more probable,
as they study
each jailed guerrilla's legal status and possibly allow conditional
freedom only for
those without any link to major massacres or kidnappings.
Freed guerrillas would still be liable for any pending charges
and an amnesty
would be considered only if peace talks are successful, they
said.
``It would be illogical to support a position of pardon or amnesty
when peace
negotiations have not even begun,'' the attorney general said.
Copyright 1999 Miami Herald