Argentina's clash of democracy and free market
By Francisco José Moreno and Alejandro Eggers Moreno
TIBURON, CALIF., AND WASHINGTON - Argentina's new president, Eduardo Duhalde,
blames US-backed free-market policies for his
country's economic crisis. Ex-President Carlos Menem says President Duhalde
is incompetent. Conservative gurus declare that Argentina
needs more, not less, free market.
Amid all the accusations and finger-pointing, one thing is clear: No one
knows what to do. This bewilderment results from the reluctance of
free-market advocates, international financial institutions, and the governments
that support them to acknowledge the conflicting demands
of electoral democracy and the free market.
The competing demands of politics and economics threaten other Latin American
countries, too. Venezuela, one of the largest oil suppliers
of the US, implemented free-market policies without regard to political
fallout. Now, both its economic liberalization and democratic
institutions are in jeopardy.
Colombia, Ecuador, and Peru nominally favor a free market, but don't have
the political stability to support it. Even countries doing relatively
well - Chile, Brazil, and Mexico - would find it difficult to reconcile
free-market measures with stable politics in the case of an economic
downturn. The dramatic and high-profile meltdown in Argentina, however,
provides the clearest example of what can happen when both
democracy and free-market policies are implemented without regard to the
effect of each on the other.
Since 1983, Argentina has strived for both economic and political liberalization.
Local markets were opened and undemocratic practices
erased. With the Army in the barracks, public assets were privatized, inflation
mastered, the peso pegged to the US dollar, and the
government prevented from printing money.
Sound economic policy required fiscal restraint. But to remain viable,
politicians needed money, so they borrowed - and borrowed. Foreign
investors and international financial institutions kept lending. As the
borrowing continued and the new economy failed to bring broad
benefits, the gulf between what was economically desirable and what was
politically attainable widened.
The privatization and liberalization of the Argentine market, wealthy in
natural resources and human capital but too weak to compete
internationally, followed an established pattern. International capital
arrived, and public assets were transferred to private hands under terms
that often reeked of corruption. Local industries were forced to compete
with global prices, and cost control became the primary goal of
production. Wages and benefits were minimized.
The largest local entrepreneurs worked out arrangements with foreign firms,
while the rest were marginalized or run out of the market. The
weakening of local businesses, together with the emphasis on cost control,
was detrimental to widespread national economic growth.
As the pool of local entrepreneurs diminished, and as the income and benefits
of laborers decreased or failed to grow, the professional
classes serving them came under pressure. As the number of those at the
top of the ladder increased somewhat and the ranks of those at
the bottom increased substantially, the middle class shrank.
Although the overall wealth of the country grew, so did the inequity of
its distribution. Whether the benefits of the new economy would
eventually reach most people was, politically, a moot question. In an electoral
democracy politicians must provide for their constituents -
today. This is as true in Argentina as in the US.
Policies that created hardships for large parts of the population sent
the politicians into a borrowing spree that undermined the country's
finances. Corruption added to the problem. But it was the discordant requirements
of the economy and politics that forced a tug-of-war
between prudent economic policy and electoral survival.
Private capital cannot be concerned with the requirements of democracy,
but the international financial organizations and governments of
prosperous democracies must be. All the money and effort they spend on
building a free market are wasted without a reliable political
infrastructure.
In Argentina, much of the instability has been generated by the once-vital
middle class. Since there is no dependable electoral democracy
without a strong middle class, solving the Argentine crisis requires including
social and political factors in evaluating loans and projects and
finding ways - through incentives, not restrictions - to keep capital and
profits from fleeing abroad. Economic dogmatism and political
dogmatism, if unchecked, follow the same destructive path. Argentina tells
us that democracy and free market, politics and economics,
cannot be arbitrarily separated if the successful free-market democracies
are truly committed to both.
• Francisco José Moreno is president and Alejandro Eggers Moreno
is vice-president of Strategic Assessments, a political and economic
consulting firm.