CARACAS -- (AFP) -- Much will be at stake when Venezuelans cast ballots
in
legislative and state elections Sunday that could be decisive for the presidential
election four weeks later.
Amid an economic crisis brought on by falling oil prices, and a political
system still
unstable after civil unrest in 1989 and two coup attempts in 1992, analysts
say the
Venezuelan electorate wants change.
For the first time Sunday, a new law will require political parties to
ensure that 30
percent of their candidates are women. It will also be the first time voting
is
administered by a reformed National Elections Council and a new, automated
balloting system touted as ``anti-fraud'' by its promoters.
In addition to electing a new Congress, 23 state governors and 391 deputies
to
regional assemblies, Sunday's vote will determine the balance of power
among
political parties vying to influence the presidential election Dec. 6.
Leading presidential candidate Hugo Chavez -- a former lieutenant colonel
who
led a bloody coup attempt in 1992 -- has proposed creating a new constituent
assembly that would replace Congress.
His ``anti-system'' campaign has promised an overhaul of the nation's judicial
branch and development of a new constitution, to restore Venezuela's ``social
contract'' and renew faith in political institutions.
A survey conducted by the polling firm Datanalysis in October showed Chavez
leading with support from 44.2 percent of respondents, trailed closely
by
independent Henrique Salas Romer with 39.2 percent.
Support for Romer, ex-governor of Carabobo state, had grown since an earlier
survey in August in which Chavez received 45 percent of intended votes
and
Romer 21 percent.
Analysts expect Sunday's vote to yield a Congress divided among the social
democratic party Democratic Action, the Christian democratic COPEI, several
left-of-center parties, including Movement Toward Socialism, which supports
Chavez, and independent supporters of Romer.
Irene Saez, the former beauty queen and ex-mayor of the affluent Caracas
suburb
Chacao, was the leading candidate for president until March, when polls
showed
Chavez's support surpassing hers. In the October survey, she received support
from only 4.5 percent of those polled.
Copyright © 1998 The Miami Herald