Chavez floats bolivar; value plummets 19%
BY FRANCES ROBLES
CARACAS - The Venezuelan bolivar lost a little more than 19 percent of
its value Wednesday, the first
day the government enacted a free-floating exchange rate, causing a rush
on dollars at local banks.
The government did away late Tuesday with a 5-year-old system that kept
the currency within a fixed
range. Facing dropping oil prices and a rising deficit, President Hugo
Chávez said the move was
necessary to stem the extraordinary capital flight seen here in recent
months.
The bolivar, which began Wednesday at 792 to the dollar, closed at the
official rate of 980, though
some commercial banks pegged the bolivar at 1,027.
While economists agreed it was a necessary move, they expect devaluation
will lead to soaring
inflation, fueling growing anti-Chávez sentiment in the country.
The measure was embraced by
investors but deplored by Venezuelans, whose money was suddenly worth significantly
less.
''Today we woke up 30 percent poorer,'' said Oscar Meza, an economy advisor to labor unions.
Central Bank officials declined to comment Wednesday. Chávez had
said the change was needed in
part to offset a six trillion bolivar budget deficit caused largely by
falling oil prices. Venezuela, one of the
country's leading oil producers, depends heavily on oil sales for its federal
spending.
This year's budget, Chávez explained, was drafted last year when prices were significantly higher.
Venezuela's economic outlook has worsened in recent months as billions
left the nation's banks. Jittery
investors and private citizens have moved their capital outside the country,
largely in reaction to
political instability here.
Protests have become commonplace in Caracas, where two military officers
recently caused a scandal
by publicly calling for the president to step down. Thousands of people
rallied in their support.
''Floating the bolivar isn't enough to put the brakes on all this,'' said
economics professor Orlando
Ochoa. ``It was a correct move, but Chávez makes it so it's not
very convincing. It's too mediocre a
measure to generate the trust he's looking for from investors.''
Ochoa stressed that Chávez's budget proposals are inflated, and
that the crisis is worse than he
suggests.
The International Monetary Fund said it was encouraged by the new policy.
But others were surprised
Chávez did not do something more drastic and controversial, like
limiting the amount of money that can
leave the country.
Some banks refused to sell dollars Wednesday until the fluctuating price
stabilized. Many exchange
houses ran out of cash and issued checks instead. And while exchange houses
were packed, reaction
there was mixed.
''It's not worth having bolivars anymore,'' said Ingrid Hernández
Cova, in an hour-long line to change
money in downtown Caracas. ``The instability is too serious. I'm changing
all I can.''
Meza, the labor union advisor, said the move will push inflation up 25
percent to 30 percent and
exacerbate Chávez's already confrontational relationship with organized
labor. Chávez has clashed
with unions over proposed civil service laws; they have lashed back by
announcing a strike later this
month.
''If we negotiated for months for a 20 percent raise and we have a 30 percent
drop in one day,'' Meza
said, ``then what are we doing?''