Venezuela's Chavez: Castro clone or a patriot?
By JUAN O. TAMAYO
Herald Staff Writer
CARACAS -- Retired air force Gen. Manuel Andara likes to tell
the story of a
friend who decided to invest in Cuba as he watched Venezuelan
President Hugo
Chavez grow more and more powerful.
Andara says he asked the friend if he wasn't worried about Cuban
President Fidel
Castro's communism. ``Yes,'' the friend replied, ``but over there
it's ending, and
over here it's just beginning.''
Ever since Chavez's December election on a left-of-center platform,
comparisons
between Chavez and Castro have been a staple of Caracas chatter.
But now, after
his party's crushing victory in July 25 elections for an assembly
that will write a
new constitution, the comparisons have taken on renewed urgency.
``Now we have a permanent revolution!'' Chavez said Tuesday as
he addressed
the Constituent Assembly's opening session, adding that he favored
a ``humanist''
society in which the government has the controlling role in the
nation's economy.
With absolute control of the Constituent Assembly, opponents charge,
Chavez
will now show himself for what he really is -- a young version
of Castro, a dictator
at heart who abuses the very tools of Venezuela's 42-year-old
democracy to
crush all opponents.
Defenders say the 45-year-old Chavez is a well-meaning patriot
under unfair
attack by entrenched, corrupt enemies who are forcing him into
policies and
language far more radical than he would like.
Similarities and a strong friendship do exist between Chavez,
a former army
lieutenant colonel who led a failed coup in 1992 and was elected
in December,
and Castro, who led a 1959 revolution and has ruled Cuba ever
since.
Like Castro, Chavez advocates an almost naive vision of a moral,
egalitarian
society and a strong central government that by dint of good
intentions alone will
erase his nation's myriad troubles.
References to Bolivar
He is a nationalist who embraces a pan-Latin American ideology,
tinged with an
anti-Americanism that sees the United States as a foreign power.
He calls his
thinking ``Bolivarian,'' after Simon Bolivar, the Venezuelan
general who helped free
several South American nations from Spain in the 19th Century.
Chavez brands all supporters as patriots and all critics as corrupt
traitors. He
promises to respect his opponents but almost in the same breath
threatens them
with violence if they try to block his designs.
``They have been knocked out, and if they know what's good for
them, they will
stay down,'' Chavez said last week in reference to opponents
who were badly
defeated in the July 25 vote.
Chavez is messianic in his sense of personal mission, a militarist
who admits
feeling more comfortable among soldiers, and a fanatic follower
of baseball.
Violent imagery
His fiery speeches might not reach Castro's marathon lengths --
one to two hours
is normal, against four to six hours for the Cuban leader --
but they are laden with
the same imagery of violent struggles over everything from high
food prices to
political cronyism.
Chavez, like Castro, likes to make a show of the ``independence''
of government
agencies and politicians he in fact controls, and makes public
``suggestions'' that
he knows are virtual orders to his followers.
One Chavez proposal for the creation of Bolivarian Youth Brigades
remains
undefined but has already sparked comparisons to the Cuban and
Soviet
Pioneers, highly politicized versions of the Boy Scouts.
As in Castro's early days in power, Venezuela's poor are ardently
supporting
Chavez and his vows to demolish an old political system notorious
for corruption
and for frittering away the country's vast natural wealth.
As in Cuba circa 1959, Venezuela's ruling elites are solidly opposed
to Chavez
and considering exile, mostly in Miami, while the middle classes
endlessly
debate the reality behind his extremist rhetoric.
And like Castro in his early years, Chavez has been frustratingly
vague on the
exact details of his future plans.
``He's clear that he has to knock down a building and construct
another. But he's
not clear on what he wants to build,'' said Fausto Masso, a Cuban-born
political
analyst who has lived in Venezuela since 1962.
Some differences
But there are also differences between Chavez and Castro -- at least for now.
Chavez does not appear to be a classic Marxist who insists on
total state control
over the means of production, though he has opposed the privatization
of large
public enterprises and agencies.
He has not resorted to Leninist control methods such as neighborhood
watch
groups, media censorship, travel restrictions, ration cards or
loyalist ``mass
organizations'' of groups such as women or workers.
Perhaps most significantly, Castro and Chavez came to power under
vastly
different circumstances that made their challenges and their
possible replies
different.
While Castro stepped into the vacuum left by the violent collapse
of the Batista
regime, Chavez was elected and, last February, assumed the reins
of stable
government institutions ruled by civilians since 1958.
Although Castro began destroying what was left of the old Cuban
system as soon
as he reached power, Chavez has so far pushed the envelope and
broken some
laws by appointing military officers to government jobs, but
stayed largely within
the bounds of the Venezuelan game.
In contrast to Cuba, Venezuela's Roman Catholic Church is strong
and
conservative, and its newspapers and periodicals, largely dominated
by
free-market advocates, regularly carry articles attacking Chavez
policies.
On good terms with U.S.
Unlike Castro, Chavez has managed so far to stay on good terms
with the United
States, which imports from Venezuela almost 20 percent of all
its crude and
refined petroleum products.
And while the Soviet Union stood ready in 1961 to provide financial
and political
support for Castro's swing toward communism, today there is no
communism to
speak of, no Soviet Union at all.
But if all those differences mean that Chavez is unlikely to follow
Castro's path,
there's nothing to keep him off the roads traveled by traditional
Latin American
strong men, or caudillos, such as Argentina's Juan Peron.
``I don't think he is going to impose a socialist system,'' Masso
said. ``Chavez is
winning by following the rules. . . . But if he runs into a roadblock,
if someone
says `no' to him, he'll stage a coup and sweep away all his opposition.''