The Record (North Jersey)
Sunday, June 02, 2002

Pressure to end embargo mounts

                                 By ELIZABETH LLORENTE
                                 Staff Writer

                                 Ignacio Alfonso has grown impatient with the economic embargo that the United
                                 States has maintained against Cuba longer than he has been alive.

                                 Alfonso, a 39-year-old restaurateur who fled Cuba with his family in 1970, says that
                                 the embargo has failed to bring democracy to Cuba. And so, he says, the United
                                 States needs to lift it.

                                 "Over 40 years, the embargo has done nothing," says Alfonso, whose family owns a
                                 Cuban eatery in Union City. "Fidel Castro has found ways to get around it and survive
                                 it. It hasn't been much more than a political symbol, and it has just worsened things
                                 for people on the island."

                                 Alfonso's criticism of the embargo is no longer the anomaly it once was in the ethnic
                                 community. A growing number of Cuban-Americans say the time has come to
                                 approach Cuba differently.

                                 Although their condemnation of the Cuban government, and Castro in particular, is
                                 deep and unwavering, this emerging group has come to believe that the embargo is
                                 ineffective, and that its removal may be what hastens political change in Cuba.
                                 Perhaps American tourists and businesses can, in large numbers, capture the
                                 imagination of Cuba's people, they say, and inspire them to demand more freedom
                                 and a better quality of life.

                                 To be sure, surveys show that more than half of the nation's Cuban-Americans still
                                 appear to support the embargo. But the shift in the community from near-unanimous
                                 support just a generation ago is making itself evident on several fronts.

                                 Most Cuban-Americans walking along Bergenline Avenue in Hudson County on a
                                 recent Monday said they want the embargo lifted. Alfonso says about 80 percent of
                                 his Cuban-American customers oppose the embargo.

                                 In March, 250 people in Miami gathered for a conference on reassessing U.S. policy
                                 toward Cuba. A local newspaper writer observed: "The March 28 event was a
                                 milestone. ... Never had so many Cuban-American political activists gathered in the
                                 heart of el exilio to express opposition to the 41-year-old embargo."

                                 The shift is also reflected in polls. A new poll, conducted by Bendixen and
                                 Associates, shows that while 61 percent of Cuban-Americans in Miami want the
                                 Bush administration to continue the embargo, the community was nearly evenly split
                                 on the effectiveness of the embargo and on keeping travel restrictions.

                                 "Certainly, the Cuban-American community is changing," says Wayne Smith, who
                                 directs the Cuba program at the Center for International Policy in Washington and
                                 who headed the U.S. Interests Section in Havana under the Carter administration.

                                 "It's become clear to many Cuban-Americans that this embargo is not going to work,
                                 and that perhaps the best way to bring reform to Cuba is to reduce tension between
                                 the United States and Cuba and to begin to engage," Smith says. "Many other
                                 countries do business with Cuba; a unilateral embargo never works. The hard-liners
                                 really no longer speak for all Cuban-Americans."

                                 Jorge Acosta, an attorney in West New York, calls the embargo fiction.

                                 He notes that many aspects of the embargo - such as a provision that bars
                                 executives of overseas-based corporations that do business with Cuba from
                                 traveling to the United States - are rarely enforced.

                                 And Acosta says the sanctions are rendered meaningless because of the many
                                 people the United States allows to travel to Cuba; journalists, scholars, and those
                                 who have relatives there, among others.

                                 Acosta questioned how Cuban-Americans can insist on an embargo while making
                                 frequent trips there and sending $800 million each year to relatives on the island.
                                 The $800 million is one of Cuba's top sources of revenue.

                                 "If this government is not going to enforce the embargo, and make it real, then they
                                 should just lift it," says Acosta, who is 45 years old and left Cuba in 1966. "If there
                                 were a real embargo, where no one could travel to Cuba and Cuban-Americans who
                                 are here were not allowed to send all that money back, maybe it would work."

                                 Experts on both sides are well aware of the change in attitude. They attribute it to
                                 several factors.

                                 One, they say, is purely generational. Younger Cuban-Americans are more flexible
                                 about how to bring democratic change to Cuba. Another factor was Elian Gonzalez,
                                 the boy who drifted near U.S. shores after the boat carrying him and a group,
                                 including his mother, capsized during their attempt to flee Cuba.

                                 Many Cuban-Americans sympathized with the older exiles' well-publicized anger over
                                 the return of Elian to Cuba, but also felt that this fueled the image of the community
                                 as intolerant. Finally, there is the sheer frustration of waiting for the embargo to
                                 dismantle the dictatorship in Cuba.

                                 The four-decade-old embargo, which has been tightened twice in the last 10 years,
                                 generally bars trade with Cuba, and restricts Americans from traveling there for
                                 personal or business reasons.

                                 The mixed views on the embargo are unfolding in the Cuban-American community at
                                 the same time that a parallel debate heats up on the national level.

                                 During a historical visit to Cuba in May, former President Jimmy Carter depicted the
                                 embargo as a Cold War relic and urged the United States to abandon it. But in a
                                 speech in Miami marking the 100th anniversary of Cuban independence, President
                                 Bush vowed not to lift the embargo without significant democratic and economic
                                 reforms by Castro. Bush also vowed to veto congressional efforts to ease the
                                 sanctions.

                                 Cuban-American supporters of the embargo say it is unfortunate, but not surprising,
                                 that others in their community are pushing for a U.S.-Cuba policy change.

                                 "Some of the most passionate anti-Castro people I've known have given up on the
                                 embargo and say it should go," said Jose Manuel Alvarez, a specialist on Cuba and
                                 the former chief foreign policy adviser to Rep. Robert Menendez, D-Union City.

                                 But embargo supporters say it has forced Castro to take important steps toward
                                 more openness in the hope of seeing the sanctions lifted. Without that pressure, they
                                 say, Castro would never have allowed the visits by Carter or Pope John Paul II in
                                 1998. They also say that lifting the embargo would flood Castro - whose government
                                 holds a virtual monopoly over the island's economy - with capital that he might use to
                                 finance leftist revolutions and anti-American movements around the world.

                                 "When the Soviet Union gave Castro billions in subsidies every year, the Cuban
                                 people still lived in poverty, they got none of it," Alvarez says. "At the same time,
                                 Castro sent troops to Angola and used the aid to export his revolution to other
                                 countries."

                                 "Castro is not just another tyrant," Alvarez, 52, says. "He's the only living dictator who
                                 tried to get the Soviet Union to nuke the United States. Now, Castro's developing at
                                 least the capability for biological weapons, and he's got the right connections with
                                 rogue states to cause us migraine headaches."

                                 Embargo supporters express exasperation over the popular notion that exposing the
                                 people of Cuba to Western icons such as Gap jeans and Coke will bring down
                                 communism.

                                 "Europeans and Canadians have been vacationing in Cuba for years, and it hasn't
                                 made a dent in the dictatorship," said Bergenfield resident Clara Nibot, who is a
                                 fixture at pro-embargo rallies.

                                 But others think the influence of American tourism and business in Cuba would
                                 inspire the island's people to fight for freedom and a better life. They say that
                                 exposure to Cuba would allow more Americans to witness the failings of the Castro
                                 regime, which they say too often is romanticized in this country.

                                 "The exposure will open eyes on both sides," Alfonso says.

                                 In New Milford, Steven Llanes finds himself in the middle of this debate.

                                 The 23-year-old son of Cuban immigrants favors keeping the embargo as long as
                                 Castro refuses to hold contested elections, release political prisoners, and allow
                                 freedom of speech. But he also believes the United States and Cuba must embark
                                 on diplomatic relations - something many hard-liners vehemently oppose.

                                 "I understand the emotionalism of the Cubans who don't agree with sitting at the
                                 table with Cuba to have talks," says Llanes, who is pursuing a master's degree in
                                 public policy at Harvard University. "Their liberty and everything they worked for were
                                 torn away from them. My grandfather was a political prisoner.

                                 "I don't think they've done anything wrong in their struggle for democracy in Cuba. My
                                 generation has to build on that struggle with new and creative ways to approach the
                                 problems in Cuba and between the two countries. We're going to be the ones who
                                 will see the fall of Castro and the Cuba that will come after that."

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