Reforms meet resistance in restless Peru
A nationwide strike yesterday protested Peru's move to privatize electric companies.
Editor's note: After this story went to press, President Alejandro Toledo
announced the suspension of the sale of the state-owned
electric companies pending a court ruling.
By Lucien O. Chauvin | Special to The Christian Science Monitor
LIMA, PERU - Peru's President Alejandro Toledo is getting a stark reminder
of just how hard it can be to make economic reforms in South
America.
Riots started in the southern state of Arequipa last Friday to protest
the sale of two state-owned power companies. The demonstrations
have spread to neighboring Tacna and have left two dead and more than 150
injured. The police and military have battled protesters, which
has prompted an upcoming meeting of mayors from seven southern departments
in Arequipa to debate a region-wide strike against the
government's policies.
Privatization lost much of its luster during authoritarian former President
Alberto Fujimori's reign from 1990 to 2000. Congress charges the
Fujimori government with squandering some $9 billion brought in through
the sale of state assets, which allegedly went into the pockets of
government officials instead of for development. As well, citizens fear
rate increases and layoffs by the private owners.
"Privatization only means more unemployment and higher rates for the population.
There are no benefits," says Luis Saraya, a leader of the
Broad Defense Front of Arequipa, which has led many of the protests in
the state. Sixty percent of Peruvians reject privatization, public
opinion polls find.
But Mr. Toledo, approaching one year in office, made it clear in a televised
address Monday that his administration's economic policies –
and in particular the privatization of state-owned companies – are not
open for debate.
The riots are the latest example of the difficulties Toledo's government
faces in trying to meet the immediate needs of the country's 27
million people while moving forward with economic improvements. South America
contains other examples of how similar problems led to
the demise of leaders in the region.
Argentine President Fernando de la Rua resigned in late 2001, unable to
deal with the country's staggering economic crisis that many
attribute to poor privatization schemes. Since then, a parade of presidents
has come and gone, and the current one, Eduardo Duhalde,
continues to face difficult economic choices.
Ecuador's President Jamil Mahuad was sacked in January 2000, after attempting
to push through tough economic reforms, including
privatization of state-owned companies.
While Peru is not faced with an immediate economic crisis – the economy
grew by nearly 4 percent in the first five months of the year – the
administration has been unable to address the pressing demands of a growing
population. The problem is complicated by numerous
unfulfilled promises made by Toledo during the 2001 campaign and after
his election.
Protesters say Toledo broke his promise not to privatize the power generators.
The government acknowledges this, but says that the
country's economic needs forced a change in course.
Carlos Franco, a political analyst with the Development and Participation
Research Center, Lima think tank, says the government has
ignored complaints against its economic policies.
"The protests in Arequipa were predictable, given the climate in the country
over the past few months," says Mr. Franco. "The government
decided not to listen to complaints, and has backed itself into a difficult
corner."
The president's missteps have led to a massive decline in support. A recent
survey by the Apoyo polling firm found that Toledo's popularity
has sunk to 21 percent from 60 percent in September.
The protests in the south are the latest in a series of uprisings since
September. The national police have registered nearly 500 protests in
the past 11 months, including a nationwide strike in May against privatization.
Yet privatization is a cornerstone of Toledo's economic policy, which he
says will spur foreign investment. It is also a key element in a
two-year agreement with the International Monetary Fund. The government
promised the IMF that it would bring in $700 million from
privatization this year and nearly $1 billion in 2003. The problems of
Argentina's Mr. de la Rua and Mr. Mahuad of Ecuador were
complicated by pressure to meet agreements with the IMF.
The mayor of Arequipa and six other mayors have been on a hunger strike
for a week to demand that the government revise its privatization
plans. Congress is also getting in on the act, with members of Toledo's
own party calling for a halt to future privatizations and a review of
recent generator sales. And investigators are looking into why Tracatabel,
the Belgian buyer of the two utilities, was the sole bidder.
The administration, however, has reiterated that the government is not
going to veer from its plan. Finance Minister Pedro Pablo Kuczynski
said backing away from privatizations would send a disastrous message to
foreign investors.
Even if the government did change its approach, Franco fears it might be
too late to convince Peruvians that Toledo is capable of solving the
country's problems.
"The president's word has been discredited to such an extent that whatever
he says means nothing," he says. "People simply do not trust
him any longer."