Garcia dodges blame for '80s crisis
Ben Barber
THE WASHINGTON TIMES
LIMA, Peru — Peru's former president Alan Garcia,
who frightened investors by winning a place in next month's presidential
runoff, refused to accept
responsibility yesterday for the economic crisis his government left
behind in 1990.
His mesmerizing oratory has led many Peruvians
to forgive his past performance and catapult him from an overwhelming 80
percent negative rating to 70 percent
approval in a few weeks.
Many Peruvians say they believe he is unstoppable
and will likely overtake Monday's biggest vote-getter, Alejandro Toledo.
Memories of the hyperinflation, food lines,
nationalized banks, worthless currency and a guerrilla war under Mr. Garcia,
yesterday jolted financial markets fearful
Mr. Garcia might restore his policies of refusing to pay the country's
foreign debts.
"Peru's country risk has gone up 50 basis
points," Carlos Janada, vice president of investment bank Morgan Stanley
in New York, told CPN radio. More risk is
likely to discourage much-needed foreign investment.
Asked directly in an interview yesterday who
is responsible for the economic chaos his 1985-1990 government left behind,
Mr. Garcia was evasive.
"No one has the sole responsibility for the
economic crisis," he said.
"There were many causes. All of Latin America
had record inflation. The previous government left me with 250 percent
inflation in 1985. Then terrorism stopped
investment.
"Plus, also, there were errors of the government
that hurt the economy. There is a responsibility, but not for one person."
Speaking after a news conference yesterday,
Mr. Garcia was asked if had changed his economic policies.
"I have changed my ideas," he said, "but the
whole world has changed, too."
Many in Peru, however, remain skeptical that
Mr. Garcia has indeed changed his ideas enough to salvage Peru from a deep
economic slump that hit soon after the
Asian economic crisis of 1997.
However, Mr. Garcia did stress that "stability
of the currency is essential," and said "there won't be a revision of privatization"
under which ousted President
Alberto Fujimori sold off many major state-owned enterprises.
Mr. Garcia fled abroad in 1992 after the government
of Mr. Fujimori accused him of corruption. Recently the charges were dropped
as political by the Supreme
Court, allowing him to return from exile.
Mr. Fujimori himself fled abroad to Japan
last year amid corruption allegations that led yesterday to formal charges
by State Prosecutor Jose Ugaz.
Mr. Fujimori was charged yesterday with organizing
a 1992 coup, of joining in a criminal organization headed by his intelligence
chief, Vladimir Montesinos, and
of using government funds in his 2000 election campaign.
Mr. Garcia lived in Colombia and Paris the
past nine years, returning to Peru only in January.
"When Mr. Garcia was president," recalled
one young Peruvian, "my parents told me we could not buy sugar or food
in the markets."
Others told of waiting in lines for hours
only to find all the food was sold out and they had to sleep overnight
in some other line.
To cope with the crisis, Mr. Garcia declared
that Peru would pay no more than 10 percent of its total earnings from
exports each year. That led the World Bank,
IMF and international banks to isolate Peru.
Mr. Garcia also fought to keep his popularity
high by raising salaries and printing the money to pay them — even though
the currency lost its value and all savings
of Peruvians were eaten up by inflation that exceeded 7,000 percent
annually.
Then Mr. Garcia arranged a system of allowing
businesses to obtain dollars at a rate of exchange more favorable than
the free market, which found the local
currency near worthless.
This allowed for favorite businesses, claiming
they needed the dollars for investment purposes, to simply send the money
abroad.
Mr. Toledo, the first Peruvian of Andean Indian
ancestry, topped the polls Monday with 36 percent of the vote. He was in
seclusion yesterday with his advisers
and family and did not make himself available to the media.
Analysts said he must change his campaign
technique in order to stave off the rapidly ascending campaign of Mr. Garcia.
Chief among the complaints by Peruvians interviewed
at random in recent days are that Mr. Toledo is too emotional and changes
his campaign promises from
hour to hour.
Even though many Peruvians admire Mr. Toledo
for having stood up to Mr. Fujimori's increasingly authoritarian rule,
many also fear his impetuous calling of his
followers into the streets to protest fraudulent counting of last year's
elections.