BY GLENN GARVIN
LA FRATERNIDAD, Honduras -- ``They're nuts over there,'' said
Victor Bonilla, a
currency dealer, waving at the Nicaraguan border a hundred feet
away. ``All they
talk about is war, while our government is trying to have dialogue.
But if they
come over here with arms, we'll defend ourselves.''
Barely a stone's throw away in El Espino, Nicaragua, Jose Antonio
Lopez leaned
over the counter of the duty-free store where he works to say
that Nicaraguans
know war too well and want no more of it: ``The injured. The
dead. The bombs . . .
No one wants that. But Honduras is provoking us.''
But a war that no one wants may be perilously close at hand. An
ancient
argument over territorial waters has the governments of Nicaragua
and Honduras
banging their sabers loudly, with diplomats throughout the region
warning that an
accidental spark could flare out of control.
``We're hoping everybody cools down,'' said one diplomat. ``I
can't believe either
side wants a war, but when you shout too much, things happen.''
But even with some officials in both governments working to calm
the situation,
Central America's legacy of suspicions and grudges is making
that difficult.
Honduras, like other neighboring countries, regards Nicaragua
as the national
equivalent of a belligerent drunk, ready to trade punches --
or cannonballs -- over
every slight, real or imagined.
``The [last] thing we want to do is something that will provoke
an action by
Nicaragua,'' Honduran Foreign Minister Roberto Flores said. ``But
we don't want
them to do anything, either. Otherwise, we're in a very dangerous
situation.''
NICARAGUA BITTER
Nicaragua, on the other hand, is still bitter about what it regards
as underhanded
land grabs by its neighbors that gave Costa Rica one big chunk
of Nicaraguan
territory in the 19th Century and Honduras another in 1961.
``In a country that's seen itself whittled away at the edges for
some time now,''
said one Nicaraguan official, ``you should forgive us if we have
outbursts of
xenophobia from time to time.''
The dispute was touched off by a 13-year-old maritime treaty between
Honduras
and Colombia, finally ratified by the Honduran Congress 10 days
ago after secret
talks with Bogota. Colombian ratification is expected soon.
The day after ratification, Nicaraguan President Arnoldo Aleman
made the first of
several furious speeches threatening a military response.
``There are things and strategies that we can't reveal to the
news media, but
everything -- everything -- has been considered,'' he said. ``We
have very capable
armed forces, we have very capable police, each of them in their
command posts
preparing their strategies.''
TROOPS ON BORDER
Honduras moved 2,000 troops to the border this week, though foreign
diplomats
monitoring the confrontation say it appears they are starting
to pull back.
Nicaragua also threatened to send reinforcements to the border,
though diplomats
say they have detected no significant movement on the Nicaraguan
side.
Meanwhile, Aleman slapped tariffs of up to 35 percent on Honduran
goods,
virtually paralyzing imports from the neighboring country.
Tensions grew so high this week that U.S. military flights carrying
hurricane relief
supplies for the Hurricane Mitch reconstruction effort were canceled.
Hundreds of
tons of aid were left on the ground in the United States.
MEDIATION SOUGHT
Both governments have called for mediation by the Organization
of American
States and the United Nations. They are also quietly using American
diplomats
as intermediaries. Meanwhile, Nicaragua has filed suit against
Honduras in the
World Court.
The treaty between Honduras and Colombia carves up about 12,000
square miles
of the Caribbean Sea claimed by Nicaragua, an area rich in fish
and -- perhaps --
oil and natural gas. Some of the waters are within 100 miles
of Nicaragua, though
300 miles from the Colombian coast.
But the roots of the problem go even further back, to a 1928 treaty
between
Nicaragua and Colombia. Colombia says that treaty gave it domain
over the
ocean areas under dispute. Nicaraguan officials say the Colombians
are
misreading the 1928 treaty, and they are enraged at Honduras
-- a fellow member
of several joint Central American institutions -- for siding
with Colombia.
``Colombia has been expanding through the Caribbean at our expense
since the
1920s, using bilateral treaties with Nicaragua's neighbors like
this one,'' said
Nicaraguan Foreign Minister Eduardo Montealegre. ``Nicaragua
has not accepted
it in 60 years, Nicaragua is not going to accept it now, Nicaragua
is never going to
accept it.''
STARTLED BY REACTION
Honduran officials say they were startled by an unexpectedly vehement
reaction
by Nicaragua to what the Hondurans believe was a perfectly legitimate
exercise of
diplomacy between Colombia and Honduras.
``What we want is a good neighborly relationship with Nicaragua,'' Flores said.
But Nicaraguan officials say Honduras should not be surprised.
The Nicaraguans
believed they had an informal agreement with Honduras that the
treaty was not
going to be ratified. They learned that Honduras and Colombia
had been engaged
in secret talks when Honduran special envoy Jorge Arturo Reyna
visited Aleman
on Saturday, Nov. 28.
``After a long and very friendly exchange of small talk, he drops
the bombshell on
us,'' said Francisco Aguirre, Nicaragua's ambassador to Washington.
``He says,
`By the way, on Tuesday we're going to ratify that treaty we
signed back in 1986.'
They obviously didn't want us to have any time to do anything
about it.''
Aleman took the news as not only diplomatic treachery -- ``the
Central American
equivalent of Pearl Harbor,'' according to one official -- but
a personal betrayal.
Aleman's Liberal Party contributed money to Honduran President
Carlos Flores'
1997 election campaign, and Flores was the only foreign dignitary
invited to
Aleman's wedding.