Mexico's Zapatista rebels outmaneuvering Fox
Leaders plan high-profile national tour
BY JANE BUSSEY
MEXICO CITY -- Rebel leader Subcomandante Marcos -- who will storm
the
capital in a whirlwind media splash in a matter of weeks -- once
again has the last
word on his newest adversary, the government of President Vicente
Fox.
``If you are going to arrest us, we ask that you put us in the
high-security (ha!)
Puente Grande Penitentiary,'' Marcos wrote in a weekend letter
outlining the rebel
contingent's itinerary.
``I say this because at some point we might have a hankering to
go out and eat
tortas ahogadas [sandwiches in chile sauce] in Guadalajara,''
Marcos said in a
dig at a recent escape from the prison. A major Mexican drug
kingpin, Joaquín
``El Chapo'' Guzmán, broke out on Jan. 19, deeply embarrassing
the Fox
government.
In either a major misstep or a masterful stroke, Fox had appeared
to embrace the
announcement by the leader of the Zapatista National Liberation
Army to leave
the safe harbor of Chiapas and march on the capital. During his
presidential
campaign last year, Fox repeatedly claimed he could break the
stalemate with
the Zapatista rebels ``in 15 minutes.''
But now, some critics charge that the charismatic Fox has been
outmaneuvered
early in his administration by the equally photogenic and media-savvy
Marcos.
With pictures of masked Marcos dominating the media, teenagers
clamoring to
see him and other opposition groups lining up in support, a furious
debate has
broken out among the captains of industry and finance, Mexico's
political
factions, the Catholic Church hierarchy and political commentators
about the
wisdom of the unleashing the rebel forces on the country. There
are fears that the
situation could provoke violence, although the 19 men and five
women who will
stage the 16-day tour of 11 states and the Federal District are
not considered an
armed threat.
``I am not sitting down with masked men,'' grumbled Ricardo García
Cervantes, a
member of Fox's own National Action Party and head of the lower
house of
Congress. ``I will not lend myself to a ridiculous situation,
a mockery or a wild
bash.''
Political commentators have outlined how in two separate meetings
with
legislators and professors of the Colegio de México, Fox
has talked at length
about the problem of the Zapatistas in Chiapas. Thegreatest concern
is that Fox
lacks a real strategy.
``We don't know if the administration is counting on [the support
of] public
opinion,'' said Alberto Fernández, president of the Business
Leaders
Confederation. ``But if that is the case, this situation threatens
to get out of hand.''
Marcos is not leaving the Chiapas highlands to negotiate surrendering
weapons
but to press Congress to pass a series of laws that will extend
constitutional
recognition to indigenous rights and culture. There are no ground
rules set for
restarting long-abandoned negotiations.
Last week, news photos showed Fox's commissioner of peace, National
Action
stalwart Luis H. Alvarez, going to remote Chiapas communities
in a fruitless effort
to meet with the Zapatistas.
Even a continuation of thestalemate is a victory for Marcos because
of the lift he
is receiving in the news.
On the other hand, if Fox is able to negotiate an end to the Chiapas
problem, it
would hand him a major victory on one of his central campaign
promises.
In one sign of how serious the issue has become, during
Even a continuation of the stalemate is a victory for Marcos.
last week's meeting of the world's corporate and political elite
at the World
Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, the first question from
the forum's
president, Klaus Schwab, to Fox was about the Zapatista situation.
Fox insisted that investors should not be concerned about the
situation, adding
that a solution to the rebel problem was urgent.
The ragtag guerrilla band, taking their name from martyred revolutionary
hero
Emiliano Zapata, launched an attack on army posts in Chiapas
on New Year's
Eve 1993. The attack was timed to coincide with Mexico's entry
into the North
American Free Trade Agreement with the United States and Canada.
The
Zapatistas claimed the pact spelled the extermination of Mexican
indigenous
groups. Although open armed conflict has been avoided for five
years, two
presidents have failed to negotiate a solution with the rebels.
The masked Marcos -- who in another life was Rafael Guillén,
an instructor of
communications theory at the Metropolitan Autonomous University
-- captured the
hearts and minds of Mexicans and international supporters.
Militarily, the Zapatistas present no threat. But the public would
not stomach a
military solution, because even the government recognizes that
indigenous groups
have been treated unjustly and consigned to poverty and marginalization
in
southern Mexico.
More significant than the digs in Marcos' latest missive was the
open challenge
as he announced he was adding two states and five days to the
tour.
The Zapatista excursion will now take 16 days, from Feb. 24 to
March 11, winding
through 11 southern and central states before reaching the Federal
District.