Cardenas Apparent Victor in Mexico
Government: Son and grandson of political legends boosts PRD's hopes by taking lead in Michoacan state governor's race.
By CHRIS KRAUL
TIMES STAFF WRITER
MEXICO CITY -- Lazaro Cardenas, the son and grandson of Mexican political
legends, revived his family's political dynasty this week with an apparent
victory in
the Michoacan state governor's race.
Preliminary election results released Monday gave a boost to Cardenas'
Democratic Revolution Party, or PRD. The leftist party has been rocked
by political
infighting and loss of influence since Vicente Fox of the conservative
National Action Party, or PAN, won the presidency last year.
The results also delivered another blow to the long-entrenched Institutional
Revolutionary Party, or PRI, which had held power in Michoacan since 1929.
A
government "flash count" of ballots gave Cardenas the victory with
41.7% of the vote to 36.5% for second-place candidate Alfredo Anaya of
the PRI. Salvador
Lopez, the PAN candidate, came in a distant third with 18.6%.
Both Cardenas and Anaya claimed victory Sunday in the bitterly contested
race. Officials expect to finish counting votes Wednesday and release the
results next
Sunday.
Victory May Help Restore Family Magic
Cardenas' grandfather, also named Lazaro, is a towering figure in Mexican
history as a general during the 1910 revolution and later as president.
He instituted land
reform and, in 1938, expropriated foreign oil interests to found Petroleos
Mexicanos, the state-owned oil company known as Pemex.
The gubernatorial candidate's father, Cuauhtemoc Cardenas, founded the
PRD in 1989 and has run unsuccessfully three times for president, finishing
third last year.
The father was Michoacan's governor from 1980 to 1986 as a member of
the PRI before abandoning the party.
Opponents say Cuauhtemoc Cardenas' poor showing in last year's presidential
race demonstrates that he lacks the national appeal to take the PRD to
a new level.
His son's apparent victory Sunday should restore some of the family's
magic, observers said.
"Although they did it in a precarious manner, the victory is very important
for the PRD and helps them stay competitive," said Alfonso Zarate, a political
scientist and
editor of the Mexican Political Newsletter. The PRD lost seats in the
Chamber of Deputies and the Senate last year, he noted.
Jean Francois Prud'homme, a political science professor at Colegio de
Mexico here, said a victory would secure a long-held party goal of taking
power in
Michoacan, the Cardenas family base. "So this is something like justice
at last," he said.
The younger Cardenas had been elected national deputy and senator.
Things Could Be Worse for PRI, Analyst Says
Although the election results appear to be a serious loss for the PRI,
the party--which last year lost the presidency for the first time in 71
years--heads into its national
convention next week with the consolation that things could be worse,
Zarate said.
"The PRI could have collapsed after last year, but thanks to the errors of Fox and lack of direction inside the PAN, it is still holding its ground," Zarate said.
The PRD holds its national convention in March, and the apparent victory
of the younger Cardenas should make it easier for his father to set the
agenda and promote
his ally, Rosario Robles, as party president, analysts said.
But the party's leadership picture will become more complicated over
the longer term, Zarate said. If the younger Cardenas performs well as
governor, he could join
a crowded field for the PRD presidential nomination in 2006. Robles,
Mexico City Mayor Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador and Gov. Ricardo Monreal
of Zacatecas
state also are expected to seek the nomination.