Cuba creeping toward economic
recovery
Growth beats the Latin American average, but most Cubans' lives remain hard.
BY ANITA SNOW
Associated Press
HAVANA -- Container ships laden with food and consumer goods from
Europe
and Asia plow daily into Havana Bay, a body of water virtually
empty five years
ago. The daily arrivals in the harbor are a sign that, bit by
bit, Cuba's economy
continues to recover, even though life remains hard for the average
Cuban.
The economy grew 5.6 percent last year and is projected to grow
another 5
percent in 2001, Economics Minister Jose Luis Rodriguez reported
in late
December. Both rates were well ahead of the Latin American average
of 3
percent.
But Rodriguez acknowledged that the effects of economic growth
have yet to
trickle down to ordinary Cubans.
``Important limitations are still faced when it comes to people's
daily lives,''
Rodriguez acknowledged in his annual report to the National Assembly,
or
parliament.
The collapse of the Soviet Union a decade ago led the island's
gross national
product to shrink by some 40 percent, and a full recovery to
the GNP level of 1989
may still be years off.
Prices for non-rationed food remain extremely high for most Cubans,
said
Rodriguez, and more homes need to be repaired and built, and
public
transportation must be improved.
``There are a lot more things to buy now, but our pensions are
the same,'' said
Lifa Isabel Barroso, a retiree in her 60s who sells crocheted
shawls and doilies to
tourists in Old Havana. Her monthly pension is 80 pesos, the
equivalent of a little
more than $4.
BETTER CONDITIONS
Still, things are much better than the early 1990s -- grim years
marked by severe
shortages of food, petroleum and just about everything else.
Cubans went months
without eating meat, blackouts were regularly scheduled to save
fuel, and the
streets were devoid of motor vehicles because there just wasn't
any gasoline
available.
``Life can still be difficult for all Cubans,'' especially elderly
people who need
special foods and medicines, said Augustin Cruz, 42, who sells
wooden statues
at an artisan market. ``But overall, the economic situation is
about 80 percent
better than 1993,'' the year that's generally considered the
roughest for those who
endured.
Much of Cuba's current economic growth has been attributed to
tourism, which
Rodriguez described as ``the most dynamic factor in our economy.''
The industry
has grown at an average of nearly 19 percent a year over the
past five years.
FORECASTS FAIL
But the industry failed to live up to expectations in 2000, when
1.8 million people
visited the island. It was only a 10 percent increase over 1999,
well below official
growth forecasts.
Foreign investment, meanwhile, ``continues growing and playing
a complementary
role in our development,'' Rodriguez said.
`MIXED ENTERPRISES'
Since foreign companies first got the green light to invest on
the island in 1995,
370 ``mixed enterprises'' -- partnerships between outside investors
and the Cuban
government -- have been formed. By year's end, that translated
into foreign
investment of $4.3 billion.
The sugar crop, once all-important, has suffered under chronic
drought. Officials
expect only 3.7 million metric tons from this harvest, a 10 percent
drop from a
year ago.
Such news would once have been devastating, but the Soviet collapse
taught
Cuban authorities the dangers of not diversifying. Economic planners
responded
by developing tourism, fish exporting and mining industries.
The average monthly government salary over the past year increased
7.3 percent
to 249 pesos, which works out to a bit less than $12 at government
exchange
rates.
DOMESTIC SUBSIDIES
The salary figure can mislead because most Cubans pay little or
nothing for
housing and utilities and enjoy free education and healthcare
and heavily
subsidized public transportation. They also receive about half
of their food through
a government ration program for about 25 pesos a month -- the
equivalent of about
$1.20.