QUITO, Ecuador -- New President Gustavo Noboa faces an uphill task to
win the trust of the country's military, which brought him to power last
week.
The 62-year-old former vice president assumed the civilian leadership of
Ecuador on Saturday when the armed forces overthrew unpopular President
Jamil Mahuad. The ouster came after protests from impoverished highland
Indians spiraled into a brief military rebellion.
But corruption and deep poverty -- conditions that led young military
officers to support the Indians' protests against Mahuad -- will be difficult
for
Noboa to overcome.
Danger of another coup?
Army officers resent the rampant corruption that characterizes Ecuador's
political class and the government mismanagement that has led to their
salaries being eaten up by inflation and devaluation. A colonel's pay has
dropped from the equivalent of $1,000 a month (U.S.) to $250.
"We can't say there won't be another coup if we continue with the very
grave economic and social difficulties," said Luis Eladio Proano, a civilian
adviser to the armed forces.
The military is one of the few public institutions that enjoys widespread
support in Ecuador. It is known for honesty, compassion and providing
health services and education to impoverished communities long ignored
by
the government.
As Ecuador's political leaders have become more and more discredited,
Ecuadoreans have looked to the armed forces as the only public institution
they can trust. An August poll showed that 65 percent of Ecuadoreans favor
the military. Politicians tallied only 6 percent.
But with the events of last week, Ecuadoreans are wondering how much
longer the military will stay on the sidelines.
On Friday, as many as 150 junior officers, most of them colonels, joined
hundreds of Indian protesters who stormed Congress and proclaimed a new
governing junta to fight corruption and work to improve the lives of the
poor.
The junta was composed of Indian leader Antonio Vargas, Col. Lucio
Gutierrez and a former Supreme Court president.
But early Saturday, under pressure from the U.S. government and
confronting the opposition of more than 20 regional commanders who
rejected the overthrow of civilian rule, armed forces chief Gen. Carlos
Mendoza announced he was turning power over to Vice President Noboa.
Speaking at a news conference Monday, Vargas agreed that the problems
that led to the coup haven't gone away.
If Noboa doesn't work to end corruption, the Indian leader predicted "a
great social explosion that could lead to civil war" in three to six months.
"And that would not be our fault."
For now, Noboa enjoys mass support
Leading pollster Cedatos reported on Monday that 51 percent of
Ecuadoreans supported Noboa. Quito, the capital city that last week
was filled with Indian protesters, on Monday was returning to normal.
Traffic was heavy, and office workers were out in force.
Noboa said he will continue Mahuad's radical plans to revive the economy
by adopting the U.S. dollar as Ecuador's currency to rebuild the economy,
a
program considered vital for the president's political survival.
He said he would announce by Tuesday key ministers in his government,
including the important finance and energy chiefs, who will have the task
of
pushing through a dollar plan.
"I am strict when it comes to complying with one's duties," Noboa said
Sunday in his first interview with foreign media. "Ecuador has to modernize,
privatize. But to say that is repetitive. Now we have to really do it."
"I will use an iron hand when necessary," Noboa added to foreign reporters
Monday, speaking in metaphors and quoting lyrics of Ecuadorian songs,
which often drew laughs from journalists.
Interior Minister Francisco Huerta hinted on Sunday that the government
was also mulling the adoption of a dollar-convertibility arrangement like
the
one in Argentina, where the peso is pegged 1-to-1 with the dollar. Every
peso in circulation must be backed by a dollar in reserves.
Some Ecuadoreans remain skeptical
Some Ecuadoreans were less confident that Noboa will bring about an
economic turnaround. Rosa Maria, who has three rubber bullets lodged in
her leg as a result of Indian demonstrations in Quito last week, doesn't
see
her life changing much.
"Nothing is going to change," Maria remarked as she limped to the bus that
was to take her to a clinic in a village nearby. "Not with this president,
who
is only going to keep policies that make the poor poorer and the rich richer."
Correspondent Harris Whitbeck, The Associated Press and Reuters contributed
to this
report.