By The Associated Press
QUITO, Ecuador
(AP) -- Ecuador's penchant for eccentric presidents,
circus-like
politics and populist economics has backfired, and the tiny
Andean nation
must now pay the price, experts say.
In an effort
to ease Ecuador's worst economic crisis in decades and
soothe fears
of a financial meltdown, President Jamil Mahuad announced
a package of
harsh austerity measures on Thursday that have enraged
leftist-led
unions.
Mahuad, who took
office seven months ago, ordered the banks
temporarily
closed to prevent massive withdrawals, froze many dollar
accounts for
one year, doubled the price of gasoline, proposed prison for
tax evaders
and promised to accelerate privatizations and slash the
bloated bureaucracy.
Earlier, he had ended fuel subsidies and frozen public sector wages.
Unions, students
and Indian groups have called the measures a ``bullet in
the head'' of
Ecuadoreans and have vowed to topple Mahuad, calling for
street protests
and bank occupations Wednesday. Taxi drivers in Quito
and Guayaquil
have declared an indefinite strike starting Monday.
Business leaders are furious at having their dollar accounts frozen.
But so far, most
Ecuadoreans -- already among the poorest in Latin
America -- remain
stunned. Violent protests have been limited.
With banks scheduled
to reopen Monday after being closed for a week,
people are anxious
to see what the financial future holds.
``I pray this
signals a turn away from populism and easy solutions,''
Ecuadorean economist
Jose Samaniego said. ``Because what we were
doing before
was the road to self-destruction.''
Past presidents
have shamelessly doled out political patronage and cut
deals with parties
in Congress in order to pass laws, repeatedly
approving deficit
budgets and rejecting necessary but unpopular
measures.
From small shopkeepers
to factory owners, few in Ecuador pay taxes
and no president
had been willing to crack down on evaders. The
government estimates
that 80 percent of taxes are not paid.
As a result,
Ecuador's budget deficit has ballooned to $1.2 billion and its
national debt
stands at $16 billion.
Former President
Abdala Bucaram, known as ``El Loco'' or ``The Crazy
One'' for his
eccentric behavior, used to pass out groceries to the poor in
bags that had
a large picture of his smiling face.
Calling himself
the ``defender of the poor,'' he held wild campaign rallies
featuring scantily
clad dancing girls.
Bucaram was removed
from office for ``mental incapacity'' in 1997 amid
street protests
and charges that he looted state coffers.
``The roots of
Ecuador's crisis are political,'' said former Vice President
Blasco Penaherrera.
``For more than 20 years, with only a few very brief
respites, we
have not had serious government.''
While many of
its Latin American neighbors privatized their state
industries and
opened markets to competition years ago, Ecuador has
lagged behind,
its economy propped up by oil and banana exports.
As long as its
leaders could spread oil and banana money to the military
and political
elites, no president dared buck the system, Penaherrera
said.
But when El Nino-driven
floods devastated banana production last year
and world oil
prices fell, Ecuador entered what Mahuad called its ``worst
economic crisis
in 70 years.''
With the patronage
system disrupted, economists say Mahuad, a political
centrist with
a master's degree in public administration from Harvard, has
a unique opportunity
to create a modern, free-market state.
But experts fear politics may doom the effort.
Many key reforms
must be approved by Congress, which can veto
presidential
legislation. Mahuad's party lacks a majority and the main
parties have
announced their opposition to the austerity measures.
``Mahuad doesn't
have the support he needs in Congress to pass the
reforms. I doubt
that he can do it,'' Penaherrera said.
Among his supporters,
there are growing calls for Mahuad to bypass the
discredited
Congress and rule by decree.
Since few presidents
have held a majority in Congress, they have been
forced to make
deals with factions within the legislature to be able to
govern.
``For years,
Congress has prevented effective government and blocked
Ecuador's development,''
Penaherrera said.
Congressmen have
engaged in fistfights, hurled glass ashtrays and even
threatened to
urinate on each other during sessions.
``We've had the
worst politicians in the world,'' said 24-year-old
newspaper vendor
Aldo Guzman.
Copyright 1999 The New York Times Company