BY JANE BUSSEY
QUITO, Ecuador -- Scattered protests flared across the country
Thursday as
unrest continued over the government's radical bid to control
an economy spinning
out of control by adopting a symbol of stability -- the dollar.
President Jamil Mahuad surprised the nation Sunday with his announcement
that
Ecuador would adopt the dollar, a move seen as the president's
bid to buy time
for a government teetering on the brink of collapse.
Debate over the controversial measure raged nonstop on Ecuadorean
television,
and on the street, while the country's indigenous movement, the
Conaie, and the
Coordination of Social Movements met for a third day in a ``People's
Parliament''
to plan measures to counter Mahuad's plan.
``We are going to defeat this dying government,'' declared Antonio
Vargas, vice
president of the parliament, at a meeting in the auditorium of
the Polytechnical
University. The parliament has demanded that the Mahuad government
resign
because of incompetence. It says the plan will ``dollarize poverty,
privatize wealth
and repress the resistance.''
WEEKEND PROTESTS
The People's Parliament is calling for a coalition of religious,
military and civilian
representatives to lead the nation.
Indigenous groups and students are gearing up for weekend confrontations
with
the government. About four million of Ecuador's 12 million people
are considered
part of the indigenous population, and they have the capacity
to mobilize
widespread protests. Vargas announced that Quito taxi drivers
would join the
protest on Monday.
Protesters, saying they would set up roadblocks on provincial
highways, began a
march on Quito, where an anti-government rally is planned for
Saturday. Mahuad
postponed an address to Congress that had been scheduled for
the same day.
A spiral of devaluation and inflation -- which accelerated in
the first 10 days of the
new year -- has left Ecuadoreans stunned and impoverished. The
monthly
minimum wage has fallen from the equivalent of $150 a year ago
to $50 today,
while the cost of feeding the average family has risen to $200
a month.
Calls for Mahuad's resignation rose as the sucre, Ecuador's monetary
unit,
slipped beyond 25,000 to the dollar. The sucre traded at 5,000
to the dollar when
Mahuad took office in August 1998.
PROBLEMS IN REGIME
Several decades of problems -- partisan fighting, corruption,
overspending based
on oil wealth -- converged on the government of Mahuad, a Harvard-educated
economist. Low oil prices and bad weather that damaged Ecuador's
main export
crops worsened the situation.
Although analysts say Mahuad cannot be blamed for problems like
a bloated
government bureaucracy, a divided Congress and blatant inequality
of incomes,
critics fault him for failing to take action earlier, causing
the public to lose
confidence.
Faced with banking problems last March, Mahuad froze bank deposits.
Panicked
Ecuadoreans turned to buying dollars to protect their savings.
About 14 banks
have collapsed as the government has spent hundreds of millions
of dollars to
shore up the sinking system.
It has been a recipe for economic and political chaos.
Now Mahuad is essentially proposing to implement the kind of economic
stabilization plan that has been used all across Latin America.
The plan attempts
to halt inflation by tying all prices to a fixed exchange rate.
What differentiates
Mahuad's proposal from programs adopted in Mexico, Brazil and
Argentina, is to
phase out the use of the sucre, except in small change, and make
the dollar the
standard currency.
CRITICS' VIEWS
Ecuador's interest rates and the level of government spending
will then be forced
to mirror those in the United States -- which critics point out
is a form of
economic straitjacket.
Critics charged that the government was improvising and has launched
the
program without adequate preparation. In order for such a plan
to work, dollars
have to flow into the country, either through loans or investment.
Few details have been announced in a program that will take at
least six months
to become effective.
Economists said the minimum wage must be increased, and warned
that inflation
could spiral to more than 13 percent in January as producers
and merchants raise
their prices to match the latest devaluation. For any stabilization
plan to work,
authorities must cut spending and renew public confidence in
the economy,
strong challenges in the best of situations.
But the middle class, executives and small business owners embraced
Mahuad's
plan.
``At least we'll know where we are going,'' said Jorge Pena, owner
of El Cuero, a
leather goods store in the upscale shopping mall called El Bosque.
``The dollar is
more stable.''
Copyright 2000 Miami Herald