SANTO DOMINGO, Dominican Republic (AP) -- The Dominican economy is
booming, but the candidate promising to stay the course is struggling going
into
Tuesday's presidential election against a plain-speaking champion of the
poor and
an old warhorse strongman.
The stumbling campaign of Danilo Medina, hand-picked candidate of outgoing
President Leonel Fernandez, reflects the widespread feeling that despite
strong
economic growth in recent years, all is not well.
Polls give a commanding lead to populist Hipolito Mejia of the leftist
Dominican
Revolutionary Party, although perhaps not enough support for an outright
victory
Tuesday.
Medina, of the centrist Dominican Liberation Party, is fighting for second
place
with 93-year-old Joaquin Balaguer, a conservative seeking a seventh term
as
president.
If no one wins more than 50 percent of the votes, the top two candidates
will
meet in a runoff June 30.
Fernandez has presided over an almost 40 percent growth in the economy
in his
four years as president. He's also raised the Caribbean nation's profile,
opening
the economy to trade and investment, playing host to summits and strengthening
ties with the United States.
But the Dominican constitution bars presidents from serving consecutive
terms,
and Medina, a 48-year-old chemical engineer and career technocrat, has
failed to
capitalize on Fernandez's successes.
While signs of growth are everywhere -- a construction boom, new highways,
increased trade -- it has yet to benefit the poor. The median per capita
income is
$2,000 a year, and many Dominicans feel left behind, nostalgic for an era
when
strong leaders -- such as Balaguer -- offered government jobs and handouts.
"I don't know what progress they're talking about. I cannot feed my family,"
said
Julio Cesar Encarnacion, a Mejia supporter and father of two who earns
3,000
pesos ($200) a month as a postal worker and lives in a Santo Domingo slum
next
to the Ozama River.
Mejia, whose Revolutionary Party has long enjoyed the strongest following
in
this nation of 8 million people, is tapping into the public's frustration
by
promising a greater distribution of wealth.
"For rich people, the price of food is not very important because it only
represents 2 or 3 percent of the family's budget, but for a poor family,
food
represents 20 or 30 percent, or more," said Andres Duahajre, executive
director
of the Economy and Development Foundation, a Dominican think tank.
Medina promises future benefits from free-market policies, stressing it
is a long
process that will take time.
"There has been, and still is, a lot of social inequality in this country,"
Medina
said in a recent interview. "But that's not the fault of our government.
That
existed before. Our government has created half a million jobs."
Mejia, 53, speaks of smaller things: a school here, a clinic there, paving
a small
road in front of a villager's home.
"I'm no jerk!" he sputters on national television to the delight of many
Dominicans tired of aloof rulers citing economic statistics.
The business community fears Mejia would divert needed infrastructure
investments to more social spending and small projects at the community
level.
"What he represents for the business sector is a lot of uncertainty," Duahajre
said. "He's said he's going to change the economy, but it hasn't been very
clear
what he's going to change about it."
Mejia has never held elected office. In 1990 he was the running mate of
legendary party leader Jose Pena Gomez, a black who was shunned by the
white
elite and is widely believed to have been denied the presidency through
fraud in
1994. Pena Gomez died in 1998.
The wild card in the race may be Balaguer, who offers a return to the days
when
a paternalistic government involved itself in economic affairs.
Though frail and blind, Balaguer has equaled and sometimes bested Medina
in
recent polls, even though he has limited himself to extremely brief remarks
during the campaign.
It is commonly assumed Balaguer's and Medina's parties would unite forces
in
the event of a runoff because of their common distaste for the Revolutionary
Party's socialist rhetoric.
In 1996, Fernandez was elected after Balaguer -- determined to keep Pena
Gomez out of the presidency -- abandoned his own party's candidate and
threw
his support to Fernandez.
Copyright 2000 The Associated Press.