SAO PAULO, Brazil -- (AP) -- The first Brazilian president ever to win
reelection, Fernando Henrique Cardoso must now put his popularity through
an
even tougher test -- harsh austerity measures needed to break Brazil's
economic
meltdown.
Cardoso inched closer Monday to a first-ballot victory as returns came
in from the
interior, where the government historically does well. Cardoso must win
more than
half the vote in Sunday's election to avoid a second-round runoff -- a
feat he is
expected to easily accomplish.
But a tougher task lies ahead: to rein in the international financial crisis
that began in
Asia and, like a domino, now threatens his country.
The prospect that the newly reelected Cardoso may slash government spending
and increase taxes helped lead the Brazilian stock markets lower Monday,
closing
off 4.5 percent in Sao Paulo and 3.4 percent in the smaller Rio de Janeiro
exchange.
The United States and other major industrialized nations, deeply concerned
about
Brazil, worked Monday on a multibillion-dollar bailout package as President
Clinton convened a meeting in Washington of officials from 22 nations trying
to
overcome the economic crisis.
With 64.5 percent of the ballots counted Monday, Cardoso was leading with
51.2
percent. His closest rival, Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva of the leftist Workers
Party,
had 34 percent, while Ciro Gomes of the Popular Socialist Party had 11
percent.
Nine other candidates shared the rest.
To most observers, Cardoso has received a clear mandate not only to run
Latin
America's largest nation for the next four years but also to protect its
economy
from the financial turmoil rocking emerging countries, including Brazil.
``In reelecting Cardoso, voters clearly demonstrated their confidence in
his
political leadership and his ability to steer Brazil through the world
financial crisis,''
said Carlos Esteban Martins, a political scientist at the University of
Sao Paulo.
Cardoso's popularity is largely the result of the success of the ``Real
Plan'' -- the
economic stabilization plan he helped put together in 1994 when he was
finance
minister. It dropped inflation from around 2,400 percent a year to near
zero now.
Since its introduction, the Real Plan has been shored up by high interest
rates and
an overvalued real, the Brazilian currency. Together, they guaranteed price
stability
but caused recession, unemployment and public and trade deficits.
On the eve of the elections, Cardoso promised to tackle the economy's main
Achilles' heel -- a budget deficit equal to 7.3 percent of gross domestic
product --
and hinted that taxes would be increased.
Copyright © 1998 The Miami Herald