Argentina's New Chief Wins $2 Billion Increase in Taxes
By CLIFFORD KRAUSS
BUENOS AIRES,
Dec. 29 -- After weeks of tough negotiations, the
Congress gave
President Fernando de la Ruá his most important
victory today
by raising taxes more than $2 billion to counteract an
expanding budget
deficit.
Along with a
$1.4 billion cut in spending, enacted on Tuesday, the package
should reassure
foreign investors and lower interest rates to speed business
expansion, government
officials said. Most economists expect a $4.5 billion
deficit for
2000, which the government should be able to finance as long as
economic activity
continues to pick up.
Passage of the
economic package should help dispel fears that President
de la Ruá
will be unable to work with a Senate controlled by former
President Carlos
Saúl Menem's Justicialist Party. Mr. de la Ruá, who has
been in office
for only 18 days, was able to break a deadlock by
negotiating
with congressional allies of Mr. Menem and with several
Justicialist
governors now competing with the former president to take
charge of the
opposition.
The emergence
of a working détente has led some members of the left
wing of President
de la Ruá's governing alliance to grumble that he is
backsliding
on campaign promises to open a serious investigation into
alleged corruption
in the last government.
Not surprisingly,
the president's allies characterized the series of
congressional
votes as a big victory. But the legislative achievements may
end up planting
seeds for political problems in the future.
The tax increases
will primarily affect the middle class, which is the base
of support for
President de la Ruá and his Alianza coalition, which will face
a mayoral election
in Buenos Aires next year and congressional elections
in 2001. But
the president is betting that his economic program will spur a
bond and stock
rally and bring down the 14 percent unemployment rate
much as some
economists have credited President Clinton's deficit-cutting
package as having
done in his first term.
The de la Ruá
package levies new taxes on soft drinks, alcoholic
beverages, cigarettes,
airport use and private medical services. A separate
tax on automobiles
costing more than $20,000 will go toward increasing
teacher salaries
modestly.
The Justicialist
opposition proposed a package that would have hit upper
income people
harder, including taxes on interest from bank accounts. The
opposition also
wanted to exclude fruit juices and tobacco from the new
taxation to
protect provinces dependent on agriculture.
But in the end,
the Alianza majority in the lower house of Congress was
able to block
opposition amendments today and the tax package was
enacted.
"This sends exactly
the right message to the country and investors,"
Senator José
Genoud of Alianza said today.
Martín
Redrado, an economist who was once a close aide to President
Menem, said
the new budget was more "credible" than the one inherited
from the last
administration. But he estimated that $1 billion of the $1.4
billion in cuts
was merely "accounting cosmetics."
President de
la Ruá's economic package will also take aim at tax evasion,
which is estimated
to cost the treasury $25 billion a year, or half the total
owed by taxpayers.
The tax collection agency will now have the power to
freeze bank
accounts, and special prosecutors will be appointed to
investigate
high-income tax evaders.
In his Christmas
message, Mr. de la Ruá made the budget deficit his
primary economic
concern. "The deficit is our worst enemy," he said,
adding that
"it is suffocating us."
The 1999 budget
deficit of $6.2 billion far exceeded guidelines set by the
International
Monetary Fund and increased concerns among foreign
investors that
the government would have trouble servicing its debt.
But there are
signs that the worst recession of the decade bottomed out in
the final weeks
of the Menem government, although the auto industry is
still contracting
and retailers complained that their holiday sales were
below those
of last year. Government and private statistics show that
industrial production
has been slowly picking up momentum since August,
and improved
agricultural commodity prices should help cut a trade deficit
that has grown
sharply since Argentina's major trade partner, Brazil,
devalued its
currency in January.
Mr. de la Ruá
will need an improving economy to sustain his recent
electoral mandate,
given that the Senate, most of the nation's governors
and the judiciary
are controlled by the opposition. In his first three weeks in
power, Mr. de
la Ruá has governed cautiously, offering few initiatives
apart from the
plans to trim the deficit.
He campaigned
on a platform that promised to clean up official corruption,
but government
prosecutors have so far indicted only one official in the last
government,
Víctor Alderete, the former head of the state-run pensioners'
welfare institute.
He faces 17 corruption charges and a $6,000 lien has
been placed
on his assets.
Mr. Menem quickly
came to Mr. Alderete's defense, charging that there
was a witch
hunt against his supporters. Without specifying what he would
do exactly,
the former president told reporters that if prosecutions of his
former aides
continued "I will have to speak up."