Debt restructuring sought
Argentina's bid for a stimulus plan dropped
BY KEVIN G. HALL
Herald World Staff
RIO DE JANEIRO -- Battered by 40 months of recession and crushing
debt, Argentina indicated Sunday that it seeks a total restructuring of
its $132 billion debt, putting
pressure on investors to take losses.
The surprise announcement was made in Sunday newspapers in Argentina and confirmed by government officials.
Argentina had been promising to cope with its economic crisis,
not with debt restructuring but with a new economic-stimulus package. The
government has been seeking
a new economic policy after voters rebuked President Fernando
de la Rúa for his handling of the economy in Oct. 14 midterm elections.
Economy Minister Domingo Cavallo, in an interview published Sunday
with the Buenos Aires daily La Nación, announced the government
would not seek further cuts in
current and former state employees' salaries and pensions, which
had already been slashed 13 percent. Instead, Argentina would immediatelyseek
a restructuring of the
nation's debt ``as fast as possible.''
The announcement could be interpreted as a technical default on debt, potentially sparking investor panic Monday in Argentina and other foreign markets.
But an aide to Cavallo, speaking on condition of anonymity, said
Argentina is not defaulting on its debt because it will continue to make
payments while the debt is
renegotiated.
``We hope they will see it that way,'' the official said of potential market reaction.
RUINOUS ALTERNATIVE
Argentina appears to be betting that investors will see it in
their interests to voluntarily restructure Argentine debt, since the alternative
could be a ruinous default that
sucks in and brings losses to otherdeveloping economies. Russia,
Turkey and Brazil are among nations with heavy debt burdens.
Argentina will not seek relief from the total of its debt, just
a more favorable interest rate of 7 percent for all its debt. That would
result in $3 billion to $4 billion in annual
savings
on debt payments for cash-strapped Argentina and allow the government to spend on social programs and stimulate the economy.
``This is a surprise. We need to see many more details,'' said Manuel Solanete, an economic analyst in Buenos Aires.
As a guarantee, investors would be offered future tax collection as collateral if they agreed to renegotiate their Argentine debt, the Argentine economic official said.
Cavallo visited Washington and New York last week and until Sunday
had said little about the purpose of his visit. He now suggests Wall Street
is favorable to his idea of
debt restructuring.
DEBT HELP
Cavallo's economic team announced that Argentina has hired Jacob
A. Frenkel, former governor of the Israeli Central Bank, to help restructure
debt. Frenkel was governor
of Israel's central bank from 1991 to August 2000, when he left
to head Merrill Lynch's Sovereign Advisory Group and Global Financial Institutions
Group in New York.
Frenkel's presence could calm potential fears on Wall Street.
De la Rúa had been expected to announce on Sunday his new plan to turn around the economy.
But that announcement is now expected in the coming days once
reaction can be gauged to the call for debt restructuring.
© 2001 The Miami Herald and wire service sources. All Rights Reserved.